NY Mets (80-73) at Cincinnati (72-82)
When: Saturday, September 21, 2019
Where: Great American Ballpark,
Cincinnati, Ohio
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: WPIX, FS Ohio
Opening Odds: New York -134/9
We backed Jacob deGrom and the Mets on Friday as our top play on our free MLB picks page and we’ll go ahead and try this matchup again. New York visits the Cincinnati Reds for the middle-game of their three-game set looking to improve on their wild card standing in the National League with just over a week to go. Teams ahead of the Mets – Washington and Milwaukee – keep winning, but New York has now won three straight to stay within 3.5 games of a potential postseason berth. After this weekend, the Mets will play their remaining seven games at home against last place Miami and already-clinched Atlanta. Pete Alonso blasted his 50th homer on Friday and is just three away from breaking the rookie mark set two seasons ago by Aaron Judge, while Michael Conforto broke an 0-for-18 skid with an RBI single in the ninth inning. The Reds could do little against deGrom in Friday’s 8-1 setback, getting their only run on a Aristides Aquino homer (17th) in the ninth inning. Cincinnati, who have won two straight series against wild card-contenders, will try to even the series with Anthony DeSclafani opposing Zack Wheeler.
Pitchers: Mets – Zack Wheeler (11-7, 4.09 ERA) | Reds – Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.93)
Wheeler has been on absolute fire since a rough stretch in August, posting four-straight one-run outings against teams with winning records. He allowed one run on six hits while striking out nine over seven innings against the NL-best Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday in a no-decision. Wheeler had an early-season outing against the Reds and surrendered four runs in six innings while walking three. He’s allowed two total runs in 12 innings in two starts at Great American Ballpark.
DeSclafani has been up and down all season but is coming off two quality starts – both against Arizona – allowing just one hit and one run over seven strong innings on Saturday, but the Reds lost 1-0. After allowing 17 runs (14 earned) in his first three starts against the Mets, DeSclafani limited them to three hits and striking out eight across 5.2 scoreless innings back on May 1st.
Just like last night, I’m going with the Mets again mainly because of the pitching matchup. Wheeler has been outstanding lately, while DeSclafani has been a little inconsistent. The Mets are getting hot again and I’ll ride them once again.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 131-90 +2798 units on the season after a 32-17 run!
Pick: Mets -122
BETTING TRENDS:
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 Saturday games.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 18-5 in their last 23 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 28-10 in their last 38 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 24-9 in their last 33 games following a win.
Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 games on grass.
Mets are 18-7 in their last 25 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 11-5 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Mets are 8-0 in Wheeler’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 5-1 in Wheeler’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 road starts.
Mets are 8-2 in Wheeler’s last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 11-4 in Wheeler’s last 15 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 5-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 Saturday starts.
Mets are 7-3 in Wheeler’s last 10 starts.
Mets are 7-3 in Wheeler’s last 10 starts on grass.
Mets are 11-5 in Wheeler’s last 16 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 4-11 in Wheeler’s last 15 starts vs. National League Central.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Reds are 8-2 in DeSclafani’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 home starts.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 5-2 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.
Reds are 2-7 in DeSclafani’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 Saturday games.
Under is 18-6-2 in Mets last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2 in Mets last 8 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-1-2 in Wheeler’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-1-2 in Wheeler’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 9-2-2 in Wheeler’s last 13 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 7-2-2 in Wheeler’s last 11 road starts.
Over is 5-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 14-6-2 in Wheeler’s last 22 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 games following a loss.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 home games.
Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 overall.
Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. National League East.
Under is 36-17-1 in Reds last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 35-17-3 in Reds last 55 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 3-0-1 in DeSclafani’s last 4 Saturday starts.
Over is 4-0 in DeSclafani’s last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Under is 5-0-1 in DeSclafani’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in DeSclafani’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafani’s last 7 home starts.
Under is 5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 21 starts on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 21 starts overall.
Over is 9-4 in DeSclafani’s last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 24-8 in the last 32 meetings.
Mets are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Cincinnati.
