NY Mets (69-66) at Philadelphia (69-65)
When: Sunday, September 1, 2019
Where: Citizens Bank Park,
Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: New York -110/9.5
The New York Mets have rebounded from a six-game losing streak to take the first two of a three-game set at the Philadelphia Phillies this weekend and will go for the sweep on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. New York scored 17 runs in their six-game skid, but have totaled the same in the first two games at Citizens Bank Park to pull within four games of the Chicago Cubs for the second wild card spot. The offense is getting major contributions from Todd Frazier and Wilson Ramos with the former knocking in six runs Friday before collecting three more hits and two RBI in Saturday’s 6-3 victory. Ramos had a hit in every game but one in August and carries a career-high 24 game hitting streak into the series finale and was 43-for-99 last month. Michael Conforto has a seven-game hitting streak in which he is 11-for-28 with four RBI and four runs scored. The Phillies have dropped three of their last four and are now 3.5 games behind Chicago and will be embarking on a seven-game road trip after Sunday that includes three in New York next weekend. Catcher J.T. Realmuto is 0-for-8 in this series after going 8-for-15 with four runs scored last weekend against Pittsburgh, while Bryce Harper has at least one hit and one run scored in each of his last eight games. The Phillies pitching staff has allowed 55 runs in losing five of their last eight contests.
Pitchers: Mets – Marcus Stroman (7-12, 3.29 ERA) | Phillies – Zach Eflin (8-11, 4.50)
The Mets were 4-0 in Stroman’s first four starts with his new team until the Cubs tagged him for four runs on six hits over six innings of a 5-2 setback Tuesday. The former Blue Jay has served-up four home runs in his last three outings after surrendering 11 in his previous 23 starts. Stroman is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in three career appearances (one start) against Philadelphia.
Eflin has had very little success this season and the Phillies had lost six starts in a row before beating Miami last time. Eflin allowed two runs on six hits over six innings of a 9-3 victory for his first win in two months. He has pitched twice against New York this season and hasn’t fared well, allowing 10 runs, 15 hits, and four homers in nine innings of work.
We just missed out on the over on Saturday and I’m going back to the same play here on Sunday night. I don’t have confidence in either pitcher and the Mets offense is heating up. I’m looking for a 7-4 type game.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 119-83 +2328 units on the season after a 20-10 run!
Pick: OVER 9.5 -110
BETTING TRENDS:
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 22-6 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.
Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 games following a win.
Mets are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mets are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts.
Mets are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts on grass.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 14-6 in their last 20 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 21-9 in their last 30 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Phillies are 41-19 in their last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games.
Phillies are 1-4 in Eflin’s last 5 home starts.
Phillies are 1-5 in Eflin’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Phillies are 1-6 in Eflin’s last 7 starts.
Phillies are 1-6 in Eflin’s last 7 starts on grass.
Phillies are 1-6 in Eflin’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 1-11 in Eflin’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games following a win.
Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 Sunday games.
Under is 16-5-3 in Mets last 24 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-2 in Mets last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 overall.
Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 on grass.
Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League East.
Over is 5-0 in Eflin’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Eflin’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 5-0 in Eflin’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Eflin’s last 7 Sunday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
Over is 4-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Eflin’s last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Eflin’s last 8 starts overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts vs. Mets.
Mets are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.
Mets are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.
