NY Mets (36-40) at Chicago Cubs (41-34)
When: Saturday, June 22nd, 2019
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 2:20 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Chicago -160
The Mets and Chicago Cubs got the weekend underway Friday afternoon with a tight contest that saw one of New York’s young phenoms step up and deliver a couple of big blows. The teams will continue their four-game set with an afternoon tilt at Wrigley Field on Saturday afternoon as New York sends out right Zack Wheeler to oppose Chicago lefty Jose Quintana. Second-year player Jeff McNeil continued to swing a hot bat for the Mets when he launched a two-run homer and the go-ahead RBI single in the seventh inning of New York’s 5-4 victory on Friday. The win was just the second in six games for a Mets team that just won’t go away. McNeil is 9-for-18 with two home runs, four RBI and six runs scored during a four-game hitting streak, while teammate Michael Conforto blasted his 15th homer of the season. New York closer Edwin Diaz picked up the save Friday with a perfect ninth after giving up eight runs in 6.2 innings over his previous six appearances.The Cubs dropped to 2-2 on their current 10-game homestand and received a two-run homer from Addison Russell and saw first baseman Anthony Rizzo extend his hitting streak to nine games with a single in four at-bats.
Pitchers: Mets – Zack Wheeler (5-5, 4.94 ERA) | Cubs – Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.87)
Wheeler has been involved in some high-scoring games lately – partly his doing – with the over going 6-1-1 in his last eight starts. He’s been hit hard the last two outings to the tune of 20 hits, 14 runs – nine earned – and three homers allowed in blowout losses to the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves. Wheeler has not allowed less than three runs in each of his last seven starts and owns a 5.55 ERA away from home. The Mets are 1-3 in his four career starts against the Cubs including a loss last June in which Wheeler allowed two runs and seven hits over six innings of work.
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Quintana has pitched better than Wheeler, but the Cubs have not given much run support. Chicago is just 1-7 in Quintana’s last eight starts and have scored four runs or less in all of them. He is coming off a no-decision last Sunday at the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday in which he gave up two runs in five innings. Quintana owns a 1.35 ERA in three career starts against New York including six scoreless innings last May at Citi Field.
The Cubs just aren’t hitting right now and their lack of offense when Quintana starts is alarming for me when trying to back them. The Mets hit very well against lefties – .342 last 10 games – and should be able to get to Quintana here. I’ll take a shot with the underdog.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 80-55 +1628 units on the season after a 30-17 run!
Pick: Mets +122
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BETTING TRENDS:
Mets are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series.
Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Mets are 5-14 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 7-21 in their last 28 road games.
Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Mets are 10-4 in Wheeler’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 5-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 10-4 in Wheeler’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
Mets are 1-4 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-5 in Wheeler’s last 6 road starts.
Mets are 1-6 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Mets are 0-4 in Wheeler’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Cubs are 46-16 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. National League East.
Cubs are 49-23 in their last 72 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Cubs are 10-3 in Quintana’s last 13 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 14-6 in Quintana’s last 20 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 21-9 in Quintana’s last 30 home starts.
Cubs are 1-4 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 1-4 in Quintana’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 1-5 in Quintana’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-5 in Quintana’s last 5 starts.
Cubs are 0-5 in Quintana’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 Saturday games.
Over is 8-1-2 in Mets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games.
Over is 8-2-1 in Mets last 11 overall.
Over is 8-2-1 in Mets last 11 on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League Central.
Over is 7-2-1 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 13-6-2 in Mets last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wheeler’s last 4 starts on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wheeler’s last 4 road starts.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wheeler’s last 4 starts overall.
Over is 3-0-1 in Wheeler’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Wheeler’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-0-2 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League East.
Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 5-1-2 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 7-2-1 in Cubs last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 15-6 in Quintana’s last 21 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Quintana’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.
Mets are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Mets are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings.
