Marlins vs Rays Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [5/4/17]

Miami (12-14) at Tampa Bay (14-15)
When: Thursday, May 4th 2017
Where: Tropicana Field, St Petersburg, FL
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network

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The Miami Marlins and Tampa Bay Rays conclude their four-game, home-and-home interleague series on Thursday night at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Marcell Ozuna has now hit safely in all 20 games against the Rays in his career and one of his two hits in the 10-6 victory on Wednesday was a blast that was estimated at 468 feet. Ozuna is 30-for-75 during his streak against the Rays – the longest versus Tampa Bay since Derek Jeter also went 20 games in 2004-05. He is 8-for-19 during his current five-game hitting streak and catcher J.T. Realmuto has hit safely in his last eight road games after going 2-for-5 with four RBIs in Wednesday’s win. It marked just the second victory in the last eight games for the Marlins. The Rays dropped to 9-5 at home on the season as Tampa Bay looks to take three out of four in the Citrus series. Evan Longoria (foot) was back in the lineup Wednesday as the DH for the Rays, but went 0-for-4 to drop his batting average to .200. Tampa Bay center fielder Kevin Kiermaier is just 2-for-42 in his last 11 games, but had a two-run single in the loss to snap a 0-for-19 skid. Tampa Bay OF Corey Dickerson, who sat out against the left-handed starter on Wednesday, leads the team with 12 multi-hit games.

Pitchers: Marlins – Dan Straily (1-2, 4.15 ERA) | Rays – Matt Andriese (1-1, 3.86)

Dan Straily has allowed only 11 hits and seven earned runs over his last 22.2 innings (4 starts), but managed just one victory. Straily gave up three runs over 5.1 innings in a 4-0 loss to Pittsburgh last time out and has 29 strikeouts in 26 innings overall while opponents are batting just .183 against him. Straily, who is in his first season with the Marlins, will be facing the Rays for the first time.

Matt Andriese suffered his first loss of the season on Saturday when he allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits over seven innings at Toronto, but posted his third quality start in four outings. Andriese has given up at least one home run in each of his five starts (six total) and earned his only victory at home despite a 4.80 ERA in three starts. He allowed three runs over six innings in a no-decision against Miami in 2016.

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Look for Straily to finally get the run support he deserves and for Ozuna to torment the Rays for at least one more night. The Rays will continue to slump offensively until Longoria gets back on track. I’m not laying -130 on Tampa Bay.

Pick: Marlins +117

W/L TRENDS

Miami
  • Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
  • Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 vs. American League East.
  • Marlins are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Marlins are 16-35 in their last 51 interleague road games.
  • Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 7-21 in their last 28 interleague games.
  • Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.
  • Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 games on astroturf.
  • Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
  • Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tampa Bay
  • Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games.
  • Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
  • Rays are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League East.
  • Rays are 40-12 in their last 52 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
  • Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 Thursday games.
  • Rays are 35-17 in their last 52 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Rays are 6-2 in Andrieses last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Rays are 9-3 in Andrieses last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Rays are 3-7 in Andrieses last 10 starts on astroturf.
  • Rays are 2-5 in Andrieses last 7 starts.

OU TRENDS

Miami
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 10-2 in Marlins last 12 interleague road games.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 interleague games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 4 of a series.
  • Over is 17-5-4 in Marlins last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tampa Bay
  • Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 during game 4 of a series.
  • Over is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 6-2 in Rays last 8 on astroturf.
  • Over is 20-7 in Rays last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 13-5 in Rays last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 interleague games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 10-4 in Rays last 14 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 31-14 in Rays last 45 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Andrieses last 5 home starts.
  • Over is 5-2 in Andrieses last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Andrieses last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Marlins are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings.

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