Miami (28-44) at San Francisco (35-37)
When: Monday, June 18th 2018
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco
Time: 10:15 ET | TV: FS Florida, NBCS Bay Area
Opening Odds: San Francisco -148/7.5
The San Francisco Giants return home from a long 10-game road trip that took them from coast-to-coast and will entertain the Miami Marlins in the beginning of a three-game set on Monday night. The Marlins come in playing some of their best baseball of the season, winning five of their last seven games, which includes a series victory over the San Francisco Giants at home. Miami began its nine-game road trip by taking two of three from the major league-worst Baltimore Orioles over the weekend after dropping the finale 10-4 on Sunday. First baseman Justin Bour homered twice for the Marlins after going 19 straight games without one. The Giants could use a power surge of their own after avoiding a three-game sweep at the rival Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend with a 4-1 victory on Sunday but totaled seven runs in the series. San Francisco will try to get the bats going on Monday against Marlins lefty Caleb Smith while countering with rookie Andrew Suarez – both of whom faced each other last week in Miami.
Pitchers: Marlins – Caleb Smith (5-6, 3.75 ERA) | Giants – Andrew Suarez (2-4, 4.92)
Smith’s last start came against the Giants back at Marlins Park and even though he did not factor into the decision, the Marlins picked up the win. Smith allowed three runs on eight hits over 6.1 innings against the Giants and has surrendered three or fewer earned runs in eight of his last 10 outings.
Suarez went up against Smith on Wednesday and allowed two runs on five hits and two walks across five innings. Suarez did not factor into the decision as well and has failed to complete six innings in four of his last five starts and is 1-1 in that span. Suarez is better at home, where he owns a 1-2 record with a 3.55 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP.
This is a good spot to take an underdog here. The Marlins just took three of four from San Francisco and Smith has been a pleasant addition to the Miami rotation. The Giants are struggling to score right now, so the under may also be a play.
Pick: Marlins +132
BETTING TRENDS:
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 road games.
- Marlins are 16-35 in their last 51 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Marlins are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League West.
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Marlins are 4-1 in Smith’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 4-1 in Smith’s last 5 starts.
- Marlins are 4-1 in Smith’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Marlins are 1-5 in Smith’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Giants are 8-1 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Giants are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Giants are 2-5 in Suarez’s last 7 starts.
- Giants are 2-5 in Suarez’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Giants are 1-4 in Suarez’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 Monday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 23-7-2 in Marlins last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Smith’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 Monday games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 10-3-2 in Giants last 15 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 16-7 in Giants last 23 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Suarez’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Suarez’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Suarez’s last 7 starts overall.
- Marlins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.
- Marlins are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
