Miami (14-25) at LA Dodgers (23-18)
When: Thursday, May 18th 2017
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Time: 10:10 ET | TV: FSN Florida, SportsNet LA
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The Los Angeles Dodgers return home to begin a long 10-game homestand when they host the struggling Miami Marlins on Thursday night to start a four-game weekend set. Los Angeles salvaged the finale of a three-game series with rival San Francisco on Wednesday and will face a Marlins squad that has fallen to 11 games below .500. Dodgers rookie phenom Cody Bellinger recorded his seventh multi-hit outing of the month in Wednesday’s 6-1 win over the Giants and he has five homers and a major league-leading 18 RBIs in the month of May. Third baseman Justin Turner is also scorching with four consecutive two-hit performances to raise his batting average to .372. The Marlins completed a 1-8 homestand with Wednesday’s 3-0 loss to the Houston Astros and have dropped 17 of their last 21 ball games. Miami made some moves before making the trip west, placing RHP Junichi Tazawa (ribs) on the 10-day disabled list, designating INF Mike Aviles for assignment, optioning RHP Tom Koehler to Triple-A New Orleans, adding INF Christian Colon (waivers from Kansas City) to the 25-man roster and recalled RHPs Brian Ellington and Odrisamer Despaigne from New Orleans. Los Angeles CF Joc Pederson hasn’t homered since Opening Day and is 1-for-16 over the last five games.
Pitchers: Marlins – Edinson Volquez (0-5, 4.41 ERA) | Dodgers – Hyun-Jin Ryu (1-5, 4.99)
Edinson Volquez is still searching for his first victory of 2017 and has issued 24 free passes in just 34.2 innings. Volquez lost to the Atlanta Braves in his last turn when he gave up two runs and four hits over six innings. Volquez is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA in nine career starts against the Dodgers and has struggled with Turner (6-for-12, one homer).
Hyun-Jin Ryu returned from a short trip to the disabled list due to hip pain and was lit-up for 10 runs (five earned) and eight hits in four innings while losing to the Colorado Rockies on May 11th. Ryu is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in two home starts this season compared to being 0-4 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.81 WHIP on the road. Ryu is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA in two career starts against the Marlins.
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This game shouldn’t even be close. Volquez has been awful this season and I’ll excuse Ryu last outing because he was coming off the DL and it was in Coors Field. Look for the Dodgers to win easily here.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +115
W/L TRENDS
| Miami |
- Marlins are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- Marlins are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.
- Marlins are 7-20 in their last 27 overall.
- Marlins are 5-16 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.
- Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Marlins are 0-4 in Volquez’s last 4 road starts.
- Marlins are 0-4 in Volquez’s last 4 starts.
- Marlins are 0-4 in Volquez’s last 4 starts on grass.
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| LA Dodgers |
- Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 43-14 in their last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. National League East.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Dodgers are 59-25 in their last 84 home games.
- Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 overall.
- Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 23-7 in Ryu’s last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-4 in Ryu’s last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in Ryu’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 1-8 in Ryu’s last 9 starts.
- Dodgers are 1-8 in Ryu’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in Ryu’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 0-6 in Ryu’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 0-6 in Ryu’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Miami |
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 Thursday games.
- Over is 8-3 in Marlins last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3 in Marlins last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 vs. National League West.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Marlins last 11 road games.
- Over is 9-4 in Marlins last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Volquez’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Volquez’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Volquez’s last 7 starts overall.
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| LA Dodgers |
- Over is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 Thursday games.
- Under is 12-5 in Dodgers last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Ryu’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-1 in Ryu’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Ryu’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Ryu’s last 7 Thursday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Ryu’s last 6 home starts.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-3-2 in Ryu’s last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Ryu’s last 27 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Marlins are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Marlins are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 24-6-3 in the last 33 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 39-16-5 in the last 60 meetings.
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