Mariners vs Tigers Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/25/17]

Seattle (8-12) at Detroit (10-8)
When: Tuesday, April 25th 2017
Where: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ROOT Seattle, FSN Detroit

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The Detroit Tigers begin a long homestand on Tuesday night when they host the Seattle Mariners at Comerica Park. The Tigers are coming off a 4-5 road trip after two straight victories over the weekend in Minnesota. Detroit, which shares first place in the Central Division with defending American League champion Cleveland, won 13-4 on Sunday with the help of newcomers John Hicks and Jim Adduci, who replaced Miguel Cabrera (groin) and JaCoby Jones (face) in the lineup. Adduci, who spent the last two seasons playing in Korea, went 3-for-4 with two RBIs and two runs scored Sunday in his first major league game since 2014 while 1B Hicks went 3-for-5 with a home run and five RBIs and is 5-for-10 in two games since Cabrera went down. Seattle is 1-3 on its 10-game road trip after salvaging the series finale with an 11-1 victory over Oakland on Sunday, recording a season high in runs. The Mariners are expected to get Jean Segura back in the lineup Tuesday after the shortstop missed 12 games with a hamstring injury, leaving them to decide what to do with Taylor Motter. The utilityman hit .289 with five home runs and 12 RBIs while replacing Segura and could move to a corner outfield position or first base if Danny Valencia (.145) continues to slump.

Pitchers: Mariners – Felix Hernandez (2-1, 3.65 ERA) | Tigers – Jordan Zimmermann (1-1, 5.94)

Felix Hernandez allowed 12 hits and four runs while striking out five in 6.1 innings against Miami on Wednesday, but came out with his second straight victory. The Seattle ace, who has struck out 20 with just one walk one in four starts this season, allowed 10 hits in receiving a no-decision in Seattle’s 5-4 road loss to the Los Angeles Angels on April 8th. Hernandez is 9-3 with a 2.48 ERA in 15 starts versus Detroit but struggles with Victor Martinez (9-for-25, home run, six walks).

Jordan Zimmermann allowed 10 hits and one walk while striking out four in six innings, earning a no-decision in the Tigers’ 8-7 loss at Tampa Bay on April 19th. Zimmermann, who appeared in only 19 games last season because of a neck injury, recorded a quality start in his season opener – a 4-1 victory over Boston on April 8th – but has struggled in two starts since. Zimmermann won his only start against the Mariners – an 8-3 victory in 2014. Jean Segura is 7-for-16 in his career against Zimmermann.

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The Tigers offense will suffer a bit with Cabrera out and Seattle should start scoring more with Segura back in the leadoff spot. Hernandez has been giving up hits, but not much else. I expect him to be on his game Tuesday.

Pick: Mariners -110

W/L TRENDS

Seattle
  • Mariners are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
  • Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Mariners are 5-2 in Hernandez’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 5-2 in Hernandez’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 10-4 in Hernandez’s last 14 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 1-4 in Hernandez’s last 5 road starts.
  • Mariners are 0-4 in Hernandez’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Detroit
  • Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Tigers are 11-3 in their last 14 games following an off day.
  • Tigers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
  • Tigers are 22-7 in their last 29 during game 1 of a series.
  • Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Tigers are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
  • Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Tigers are 5-2 in Zimmermann’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Tigers are 1-5 in Zimmermann’s last 6 home starts.
  • Tigers are 1-5 in Zimmermann’s last 6 starts.
  • Tigers are 1-6 in Zimmermann’s last 7 starts on grass.

OU TRENDS

Seattle
  • Under is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 13-5 in Mariners last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 13-5 in Mariners last 18 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 36-14-2 in Mariners last 52 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 17-7-1 in Mariners last 25 vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Mariners last 20 games following a win.
  • Over is 5-0-3 in Hernandez’s last 8 Tuesday starts.
  • Over is 5-0 in Hernandez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 road starts.
  • Under is 16-5 in Hernandez’s last 21 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Hernandez’s last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Hernandez’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 42-19-4 in Hernandez’s last 65 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 13-6-2 in Hernandez’s last 21 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Detroit
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. American League West.
  • Over is 9-1-1 in Tigers last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 15-3-3 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 19-6-4 in Tigers last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 28-9-2 in Tigers last 39 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games following an off day.
  • Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 9-4 in Tigers last 13 home games.
  • Over is 34-16-1 in Tigers last 51 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Over is 33-16-3 in Tigers last 52 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Zimmermann’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 6-0 in Zimmermann’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in Zimmermann’s last 9 home starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Zimmermann’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Zimmermann’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in Zimmermann’s last 14 starts overall.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Zimmermann’s last 12 starts on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
  • Mariners are 10-3 in Hernandez’s last 13 starts vs. Tigers.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Hernandez’s last 5 road starts vs. Tigers.
  • Mariners are 5-2 in Hernandez’s last 7 road starts vs. Tigers.
  • Mariners are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.

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