Seattle (66-65) at Baltimore (65-65)
When: Monday, August 28th 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ROOT Northwest, MASN2
Opening Odds: Baltimore -125/10.5
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The Seattle Mariners look to rebound from a rough weekend in New York to take on the suddenly resurgent Baltimore Orioles on Monday night in a matchup of two teams very much alive in the AL Wild Card race. The Minnesota Twins are currently hanging onto that second spot with the L.A. Angels and Mariners 1.5 games back, while the Orioles sit two back. The Orioles are riding a four-game winning streak after completing a three-game sweep in Boston over the weekend, outscoring the AL East-leading Red Sox 25-4. Baltimore 2B Jonathan Schoop went 0-for-4 on Sunday to end a seven-game hitting streak during which he was batting .433. The Mariners became the first major-league team in 40 years to commit five errors in one inning during Sunday’s 10-1 loss to the New York Yankees. The Mariners didn’t generate any offense over the weekend and one reason was the injury to 2B Robinson Cano, who came back yesterday after pinch-hitting duties on Friday and Saturday, but left late in the game as he wasn’t running particularly well, according to Seattle manager Scott Servais. Seattle has fared well recently against Baltimore, winning two of three at home two weeks ago and eight of the last 10 overall meetings. Since joining Seattle in 2015 after one season in Baltimore, Nelson Cruz has hit .392 with five homers and 15 RBIs in 51 at-bats against his old team.
Pitchers: Mariners – Marco Gonzales (0-1, 7.40 ERA) | Orioles – Chris Tillman (1-7, 7.75)
Former Gonzaga Bulldog Marco Gonzales will look to turn things around and keep his team in the ballgame tonight. He hasn’t made it through five innings in each of his last five starts and is coming off a loss in Atlanta after allowing two runs on six hits and three walks while throwing 99 pitches over 4.2 innings. Gonzales has allowed at least one home run in each of his five outings this season – including one with St. Louis – and is allowing opponents to bat .352 against him. Gonzales settled for a no-decision versus the Orioles on August 16th, when he allowed four runs over 4.1 innings.
CLEVELAND INDIANS VS NEW YORK YANKEES PREVIEW AND FREE PICK
Chris Tillman is back in the rotation and picked-up where he left off – with a dud. He allowed four runs and issued a career high-tying six walks across 5.1 innings against the Angels on August 20th. The former All-Star was coming off a pair of scoreless relief appearances – the first two of his career – but has recorded an 8.00 ERA in his 16 starts this season. Cano (15-for-36) and Cruz (5-for-16) both have hit a pair of homers against Tillman, who is 7-1 with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) versus Seattle.
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This game has OVER written all over it. The total is set at 11, but I have to take it. The Orioles offense came alive against Boston over the weekend and should be able to prevent Gonzales from going five innings again. Tillman has been awful all year and the Mariners should easily score at least five in this game.
Pick: Over 11 +105
BETTING TRENDS:
- Mariners are 16-5 in their last 21 Monday games.
- Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 17-8 in their last 25 road games.
- Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 Monday games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 9-4 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 12-2 in Tillman’s last 14 Monday starts.
- Orioles are 5-2 in Tillman’s last 7 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
- Orioles are 2-5 in Tillman’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 2-6 in Tillman’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 2-7 in Tillman’s last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 2-7 in Tillman’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 home starts.
- Orioles are 1-6 in Tillman’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 0-4 in Tillman’s last 4 starts.
- Orioles are 0-5 in Tillman’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 0-5 in Tillman’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 0-4 in Tillman’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 13-2-1 in Orioles last 16 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5 in Orioles last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 38-18-2 in Orioles last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Monday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Tillman’s last 4 Monday starts.
- Under is 17-4 in Tillman’s last 21 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Tillman’s last 26 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Tillman’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Tillman’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Tillman’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 35-17-1 in Tillman’s last 53 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 33-16-2 in Tillman’s last 51 starts overall.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Tillman’s last 6 home starts vs. Mariners.
- Mariners are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Orioles are 8-2 in Tillman’s last 10 starts vs. Mariners.
- Over is 5-2 in Tillman’s last 7 starts vs. Mariners.
