Seattle (18-16) at Cleveland (17-13)
When: Saturday, May 4th, 2019
Where: Progressive Field,
Cleveland, Ohio
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: STO, ROOT NW
Opening Odds: Cleveland -185/8
Most figured the 13-2 start to the season the Seattle Mariners had was just a fluke. Well, it turns out they were right. Seattle has fallen on hard times since that scorching start and are 5-14 since after losing for the fifth straight time Friday – a 2-1 setback to the Cleveland Indians. The Mariners, who were averaging almost eight runs a game in their first 15 games, have scored eight runs during their five game losing streak, and five of them came in one game. The pitching has not been much better, allowing 46 runs in four games prior to last night. Mitch Haniger is just a few of the Seattle bats that has cooled off. He hit seven homers and drove in 18 runs in his first 26 games, but is just 2-for-25 with no homers and one RBI in his last seven. Dee Gordon has multiple hits in four of his last six games but has crossed the plate just once in that span. Cleveland, which is last in the American League with a .212 team batting average, managed just four hits in Friday’s victory and worked a pair of walks in the bottom of the ninth inning before the game-winning RBI single from pinch hitter Tyler Naquin. First baseman Carlos Santana leads Cleveland with a .314 batting average but was hitless in three at-bats Friday.
Pitchers: Mariners – Mike Leake (2-3, 4.98 ERA) | Indians – Carlos Carrasco (2-3, 5.86)
Mike Leake is in a bit of a tailspin after two solid outings to start 2019 and got hit for nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits over five innings in a 15-1 loss to Texas last Saturday. Leake is winless in his last four outings including an April 16th setback to the Indians when he allowed two runs and eight hits across six innings. He was 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA in two starts against Cleveland last season.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Carlos Carrasco has also faced the Mariners this season and threw seven scoreless innings with 12 strikeouts in a 1-0 victory on April 17th. He is coming off a clunker in Houston in which he permitted four runs on six hits over 6.2 innings with eight strikeouts on Sunday after recording 11 scoreless innings in his previous two outings. Carrasco is 5-3 with a 3.51 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) versus Seattle.
I know Cleveland can’t hit, but Seattle can’t hit or pitch or field lately and are in a downward spiral that doesn’t show signs of ending. You can’t commit 38 errors in 34 games and expect to win. Reality has set in for the Mariners and I expect Carrasco to ring-up several more strikeouts Saturday. I’ll take my chances with the runline here, because Leake has not been very good.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 51-38 on the season!
Pick: Indians -1.5 -105
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BETTING TRENDS:
Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 Saturday games.
Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mariners are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mariners are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.
Mariners are 4-0 in Leake’s last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Mariners are 12-2 in Leake’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mariners are 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 Saturday starts.
Mariners are 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Mariners are 2-5 in Leake’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 1-4 in Leake’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
Indians are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 64-28 in their last 92 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 10-3 in Carrasco’s last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 20-8 in Carrasco’s last 28 home starts.
Indians are 14-6 in Carrasco’s last 20 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 7-3 in Carrasco’s last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 7-3 in Carrasco’s last 10 Saturday starts.
Indians are 13-6 in Carrasco’s last 19 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 2-5 in Carrasco’s last 7 starts.
Indians are 2-5 in Carrasco’s last 7 starts on grass.
Indians are 1-4 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Indians are 1-4 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Indians are 1-5 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a loss.
Under is 4-1-2 in Mariners last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 10-3-1 in Mariners last 14 road games.
Over is 9-3-1 in Mariners last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 vs. American League Central.
Over is 6-1 in Leake’s last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Leake’s last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 Saturday starts.
Over is 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 road starts.
Under is 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Leake’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Leake’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Leake’s last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 games following a win.
Under is 6-0-1 in Indians last 7 vs. American League West.
Under is 6-0-1 in Indians last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1-1 in Indians last 9 overall.
Under is 7-1-1 in Indians last 9 on grass.
Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 11-4 in Indians last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 19-7-4 in Indians last 30 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 16-6-1 in Indians last 23 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 21-10-4 in Indians last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-1 in Carrasco’s last 9 Saturday starts.
Over is 30-11 in Carrasco’s last 41 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-3 in Carrasco’s last 11 starts overall.
Over is 7-3-1 in Carrasco’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 9-4-1 in Carrasco’s last 14 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 38-18-2 in Carrasco’s last 58 home starts.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Mariners are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
