NY Jets (5-8) at Baltimore (11-2)
When: Thursday, December 12th, 2019
Where: M&T Bank Stadium,
Time: 8:20 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Baltimore -14.5/44
The New York Jets have been on prime time twice already this season and neither has gone well, but the team has been playing better of late and will try not to get embarrassed this Thursday night against the Baltimore Ravens. This will be the last Thursday night game on the schedule and this one offers one of the biggest spreads in the NFL this season. New York comes in as 15-point underdogs to the red-hot Ravens, who are on their way to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Baltimore has won nine games in a row behind leading MVP candidate Lamar Jackson after a 24-17 win at Buffalo last Sunday. The Ravens have covered the spread in six of their last seven games, while the Jets have won four of five overall, but against some of the league’s worst. New York’s last four wins have come against the N.Y. Giants, Washington, Cincinnati, and Miami. The Ravens are 8-2 all-time vs. the Jets, but New York took the most recent matchup 24-16 in 2016. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, while the under is 3-1-2 in the previous six.
The Jets win over Miami was one of the more dramatic endings last Sunday when Sam Ficken hit a 44-yard field goal as time expired for the longest walk-off winning field goal in team history. Quarterback Sam Darnold, who has had an inconsistent season, injured his hand early in the fourth quarter but stayed in the game and was 20-for-36 for 270 yards and two scores with a pick. He is not listed on the injury report as of Tuesday night, but running back Le’Veon Bell is. The former Steeler missed last week’s game due to an illness. Robby Anderson had his second straight 100-yard receiving game with 116 and a touchdown. The defense was without top safety Jamal Adams with a foot injury and he’s questionable for Thursday. New York ranks second in the NFL at defending the run (78.8) and seventh overall (320.8). The Jets will host Pittsburgh next week before closing the season at Buffalo.
Baltimore’s franchise-record ninth win in a row also clinched a playoff spot as they improved to 6-1 away from home with the victory in Buffalo. They can wrap up the AFC North this week and they control their own destiny to be the AFC’s top seed. Jackson threw three touchdown passes and rushed for 40 yards and has 1,017 rushing yards on the season – 22 shy of Michael Vick’s single-season record for a quarterback. Top tight end Mark Andrews left with a knee injury and it’s not yet clear if he will miss time – he’s listed as questionable. The Ravens, who are 1-7 ATS in their past eight as home favorites, will be at Cleveland next week.
Just because an NFL game is on national TV, doesn’t mean you have to bet it. This is one game that falls into that category. I don’t want any part of it, but we make our picks in ALL games here at UltimateCapper.com and my suggestion – along with Bobby and Reggie – is to take the points. Underdogs have been covering at a high rate this season and it’s not very wise to lay this many points, even in this case.
Pick: Jets +15 (More Week 15 Free Picks)
Jets are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Jets are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a road underdog.
Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Jets are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.
Jets are 8-21-3 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 15.
Ravens are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ravens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Ravens are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-3 in Jets last 10 vs. AFC.
Under is 9-4 in Jets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in December.
Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 home games.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.