Iowa State vs Purdue Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [3/18/17]

[corner-ad id=1]Iowa State (24-10) vs Purdue (26-7)
When: Saturday, March 18th 2017
Where: Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 9:40 ET | TV: TBS

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A trip to the Sweet 16 is on the line when the Iowa State Cyclones take on the Purdue Boilermakers Saturday night in Milwaukee. Purdue, which boasts an intimidating frontcourt led by Player of the Year candidate Caleb Swanigan, overwhelmed the Vermont Catamounts on Thursday 80-70, outrebounding them by 10. Swanigan recorded 16 points, 14 rebounds, four assists and three blocked shots in Thursday’s first-round win while fellow forward Vince Edwards added a game-high 21 points – with 15 coming in the second half. Swanigan, Edwards and a 7’2″ Isaac Haas combined for 25 of Purdue’s 38 rebounds. Swanigan’s double-double Thursday gave him a Big Ten-record 27 on the season, and only three major-conference players (Blake Griffin with 30, Tim Duncan with 29 and Michael Beasley with 28) have had more in a single season in the last 20 years. Swanigan leads the team with 18.4 points and 12.6 rebounds per contest and is joined in double-digit scoring by Haas (12.6), Vince Edwards (12.5) and guards Carsen Edwards (10.5) and Dakota Mathias (10.0). Purdue shot 51.7% from the floor versus Vermont and is now 16-2 this season when shooting 48% or better.

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The Cyclones run a completely different style of basketball, often using a four-guard set with a lot of three-point attempts. Iowa State received a combined 59 points, including eight 3-pointers, and 14 assists from starting guards Monte Morris, Naz Mitrou-Long, Deonte Burton and Matt Thomas in beating 12th-seeded Nevada 84-73 for its 10th win in its last 11 games. The Cyclones shot 55.6% from the field, including 8-of-19 on 3-pointers, and improved to 17-0 this season when scoring 80 or more points. Morris (16.4), Mitrou-Long (15.4), Burton (14.8) and Thomas (12.1) are all averaging double figures, and Morris’ 6.1 assists per game ranks fourth among players that participated in the NCAA Tourney. Five Cyclones have made at least 40 three-pointers this season and, as a team, Iowa State is connecting on 40.3% of them – ranking 13th nationally entering play Friday. Morris has played in 139 games and participated in 100 career wins – both school records for the Cyclones. Saturday’s game will only be the second meeting in the last 21 years between the programs with Iowa State winning 83-80 in 2007.

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This should be a fun game with the contrast in styles here, but I always favor good guard play when it comes to Tournament time. The Cyclones have one of the best backcourts in the nation and Morris is fantastic. Iowa State has beaten some pretty good teams this year, so they won’t be intimidated. I like the Cyclones to advance.

Pick: Iowa State +1

ATS TRENDS

Iowa St.
  • Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
  • Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
  • Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Cyclones are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Cyclones are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Cyclones are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cyclones are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
Purdue
  • Boilermakers are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
  • Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
  • Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
  • Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
  • Boilermakers are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Boilermakers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
  • Boilermakers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.
  • Boilermakers are 16-7-2 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
  • Boilermakers are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.

OU TRENDS

Iowa St.
  • Over is 8-0 in Cyclones last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 5-0 in Cyclones last 5 neutral site games.
  • Over is 6-0 in Cyclones last 6 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
  • Over is 10-1 in Cyclones last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 9-1 in Cyclones last 10 Saturday games.
  • Over is 13-3 in Cyclones last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 17-4 in Cyclones last 21 overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in Cyclones last 9 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Over is 39-12 in Cyclones last 51 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 vs. Big Ten.
  • Over is 27-9 in Cyclones last 36 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 16-7 in Cyclones last 23 neutral site games as an underdog.
Purdue
  • Over is 7-0 in Boilermakers last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Over is 7-0 in Boilermakers last 7 neutral site games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.

HEAD TO HEAD

No trends available.

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