Cleveland (48-38) at Cincinnati (41-44)
When: Saturday, July 6th, 2019
Where: Great American Ballpark,
Cincinnati, Ohio
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: STO, FS Ohio
Opening Odds: Cleveland -125/9.5
The two teams from the state of Ohio got off to very slow starts this year and looked as if they weren’t going to compete for a postseason berth, but things have changed as we approach the All-Star Break. The Indians have gathered momentum and are all of the sudden just six games behind Minnesota in the AL Central while holding down the second wild card spot after winning four in a row and 19 of their last 27 overall. Wednesday’s 8-4 win over Kansas City moved the Indians 10 games over .500 for the first time this season as they prepare to visit the Cincinnati Reds for a two-game interleague series starting Saturday. Cleveland 1B-DH Carlos Santana, who is competing in Monday’s Home Run Derby at Progressive Field, is 14-for-38 during a 10-game hitting streak. The Reds are still three games under .500 but are very much alive in the ultra-competitive National League Central, trailing first place Milwaukee and the Chicago Cubs entering Friday’s action by just 3.5 games despite their last place positioning. Cincinnati just got done taking three of four from the Brewers behind their terrific pitching staff, who have the third-best ERA in the majors at 3.65 and held Milwaukee scoreless for the final 21 innings of the series. Outfielder Yasiel Puig was the offensive star in the series, going 5-for-11 with two homers and four RBI in the final three contests.
Pitchers: Indians – Shane Bieber (7-3, 3.54 ERA) | Reds – Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 4.35)
Cleveland is just 2-3 in Shane Bieber’s last five starts, but four of those outings were pretty solid and he got little run support in that stretch. He limited the lowly Baltimore Orioles to three hits over eight scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts and has allowed three runs or less in four of his last five starts. Bieber, who is 5-2 with a 3.33 ERA in eight road starts, gave up three runs over 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the Reds last year.
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Anthony DeSclafani has also been solid over the past month, giving up one run or less in four of his last five starts. He followed up a rough outing at Milwaukee (six runs, eight hits, 4.1 IP) by pitching six scoreless innings versus the Cubs and striking out seven. DeSclafani has allowed one run in three of his four career starts against the Indians including earlier this season at Progressive Field over 5.2 innings.
Both teams are playing well, but the Indians still don’t hit very well and the Reds pitching staff has been dominant lately. Cincinnati has won 9 of their last 11 home games and they’ll keep that momentum going here.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 88-61 +1728 units on the season!
Pick: Reds +119
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BETTING TRENDS:
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games following an off day.
Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.
Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Indians are 73-34 in their last 107 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Indians are 6-1 in Bieber’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 5-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-1 in Bieber’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 11-3 in Bieber’s last 14 road starts.
Indians are 9-3 in Bieber’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 17-8 in Bieber’s last 25 starts.
Indians are 2-5 in Bieber’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-4 in Bieber’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games.
Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.
Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win.
Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 6-15 in their last 21 interleague games.
Reds are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
Reds are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Reds are 5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Reds are 5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 6 interleague starts.
Reds are 5-2 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 7-3 in DeSclafani’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 9-4 in DeSclafani’s last 13 starts.
Reds are 9-4 in DeSclafani’s last 13 starts on grass.
Reds are 9-4 in DeSclafani’s last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 2-5 in DeSclafani’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 interleague games.
Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games following a win.
Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 Saturday games.
Over is 13-5-1 in Indians last 19 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-3-1 in Indians last 11 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Bieber’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-1-2 in Bieber’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 7-1 in Bieber’s last 8 road starts.
Under is 6-1 in Bieber’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Bieber’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 10-3 in Bieber’s last 13 starts on grass.
Under is 10-3 in Bieber’s last 13 starts overall.
Under is 8-3 in Bieber’s last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 9-4-1 in Bieber’s last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games following an off day.
Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. American League Central.
Under is 10-1 in Reds last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague home games.
Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 14-2 in Reds last 16 interleague games.
Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 Saturday games.
Under is 12-3 in Reds last 15 games following a win.
Under is 12-3 in Reds last 15 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 27-8 in Reds last 35 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 20-6-1 in Reds last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 16-5 in Reds last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 19-7-1 in Reds last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 44-19-3 in Reds last 66 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 68-31-3 in Reds last 102 on grass.
Under is 68-31-3 in Reds last 102 overall.
Under is 4-0 in DeSclafani’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in DeSclafani’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in DeSclafani’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Indians are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
Indians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.
