Miami (38-40) at Toronto (48-31)
When: Friday, April 7th 2017
Where: Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: FSN Sun, Sportsnet
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The Miami Heat start a brutal stretch to end the season when they visit the Toronto Raptors on Friday night as they try and stay in the postseason race. Miami is battling both the Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls for two of the last spots in the Eastern Conference, but have the toughest finishing schedule of the three. Miami snapped a two-game skid with a 112-99 win at Charlotte on Wednesday to kick off a three-game road trip that concludes at Washington on Saturday, and it finishes the season with home games against Cleveland and the Wizards. The Heat appeared to be falling off the pace with losses in four of six before James Johnson stepped into the starting lineup to provide a spark along with stars Goran Dragic and Hassan Whiteside. The veteran power forward scored 26 points on 10-of-12 shooting, including 6-of-7 from 3-point range on Wednesday. Dragic tied his second-best scoring output of the season against the Hornets, pouring in 33 on 13-of-21 shooting including five three-pointers. Whiteside took over the game underneath with 20 rebounds to improve his season average to 14.1.
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The Raptors are in a tight battle for the No. 3 spot in the East with the Wizards. Toronto will enter Friday’s game tied with Washington after the Wizards knocked off the Knicks last night. Toronto has won nine of its last 11 games and got a big boost when All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry returned from a wrist injury and recorded 27 points and 10 assists in Wednesday’s 105-102 win at Detroit. Lowry sat out 21 games after undergoing surgery on his right wrist but returned strong and went 9-of-16 from the floor while logging 42 minutes on Wednesday. Fellow All-Star DeMar DeRozan, who saw his scoring average rise in Lowry’s absence, dished out 10 assists on Wednesday. Small forward DeMarre Carroll scored just two points on 1-of-6 shooting Wednesday after averaging 11 points in the previous three games. Toronto took two of the first three meetings, including a 101-84 thumping in Miami on March 23rd.
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The Heat are in desperation mode with just a few games left and have been playing extremely well against the top teams. They have covered their last seven against teams with a .600 or better winning percentage and are 5-1 ATS in their last six away from home. I definitely think they can keep this one close and possibly pull off the upset.
Pick: Heat +5
ATS TRENDS
| Miami |
- Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Heat are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Heat are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
- Heat are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Heat are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
- Heat are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Heat are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Heat are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Heat are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
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| Toronto |
- Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.
- Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.
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OU TRENDS
| Miami |
- Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 9-2 in Heat last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 road games.
- Under is 10-3 in Heat last 13 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 10-4 in Heat last 14 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
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| Toronto |
- Over is 7-0 in Raptors last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-0 in Raptors last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.
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