NY Giants (2-3) at New England (5-0)
When: Thursday, October 10th, 2019
Where: Gillette Stadium,
Foxborough, MA
Time: 8:20 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: New England -13.5/46
Week 6 of the NFL season kicks off with the largest spread of the schedule with the New England Patriots 16.5-point favorites at home over the New York Giants. Patriots quarterback Tom Brady already has a record six Super Bowl rings, but could have eight if it weren’t for huge upsets by Eli Manning and the New York Giants in Super Bowls XLII and XLVI. Manning probably has taken his last snap as a starting quarterback for the Giants, replaced after Week 2 by first-round rookie Daniel Jones, while Brady and the Patriots just keep on rolling. New England is among two teams with a perfect record, but the reigning Super Bowl champions haven’t exactly been tested outside of the game at Buffalo. The Patriots have beaten three opponents that have yet to win a game and will play another team with a sub-.500 record on Thursday. New England is seeking its fourth 6-0 start under Bill Belichick thanks to a defense that has allowed a measly 34 points. The Giants are missing a key piece to their offense in running back Saquon Barkley, who has missed the past two games due to a high ankle sprain but is getting closer to returning according to coach Pat Shurmur. The Giants’ modest two-game winning streak came to an end in a 28-10 home loss to the Minnesota Vikings last weekend. The last regular-season meeting between the teams was in Week 10 of 2015 with the Patriots (8-0) escaping 27-26 in East Rutherford. Stephen Gostkowski hit a 54-yard field goal with one second left, but won’t play the rest of this season after injuring his hip. New York has covered the past five regular-season meetings and the under is 5-2 in the previous seven.
The Giants won their first two games under Jones, but reality set in last week when the Vikings defense limited him to 21-for-38 for 182 yards with a touchdown and interception. Backup running back Wayne Gallman left with a concussion and is doubtful for Thursday, leaving the Giants really thin at the position. Wide receiver Golden Tate made his season debut off suspension and had three catches for 13 yards. Fellow wideout Sterling Shepard is likely to miss the game due to a concussion, while tight end Evan Engram is dealing with a sprained medial collateral ligament and is questionable. While the Giants are getting pressure on the quarterback (13 sacks), they’re also giving up a ton of yards through the air, ranking 28th in the league at 279.4 yards per game. Linebackers Alec Ogletree (hamstring) and Tae Davis (concussion) both sat out and are questionable for Thursday. The Giants have covered eight straight games after scoring fewer than 15 points in the previous one.
New England remained unbeaten by throttling Washington 33-7, as the Redskins fired coach Jay Gruden a day later. Brady was 28-of-42 for 348 yards with three touchdowns and a pick, his 90th 300-yard effort of his career. He passed Brett Favre for third on the all-time passing yardage list and will pass Peyton Manning for second on Thursday. The defense held Washington to 220 yards and 1-for-11 on third down and it marked the fifth straight game that New England hasn’t allowed a TD pass. New England also leads the NFL in sacks (24) and interceptions (11). The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their past five on Thursday.
I know this is a lot of points, but I just don’t know where the Giants are going to get their offense from. They have too many key injuries to keep this one close. Do yourself a favor and watch Game 5 of the ALDS instead. You can find my free pick for that game here and Bobby Babowski’s pick here.
Pick: Patriots -16.5 (More Week 6 Free Picks)
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 20-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Patriots are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 39-15-2 ATS in their last 56 games in October.
Patriots are 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
Patriots are 43-19 ATS in their last 62 games overall.
Patriots are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games following a ATS win.
Patriots are 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 82-40-3 ATS in their last 125 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.
Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 Thursday games.
Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games in October.
Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 35-17 in Giants last 52 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games in Week 6.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 14-5 in Patriots last 19 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 home games.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New England.
Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
