Philadelphia (4-1) at Carolina (4-1)
When: Thursday, October 12th 2017
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Time: 8:25 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: Carolina -3/44.5
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Week 6 of the NFL season gets started with a terrific Thursday night matchup between two 4-1 teams looking to stay hot when the Carolina Panthers host the Philadelphia Eagles. This has been some turnaround for Carolina, who finished a disappointing 6-10 last year after a 15-1 campaign in 2015 that included a trip to the Super Bowl. The Eagles were in a similar position last year before finishing with a 7-9 record and missing the playoffs altogether. The Eagles are sitting atop the NFC East with their lone loss coming at Kansas City – the league’s only unbeaten team. Like Philadelphia, the Panthers are 4-1 and alone in first place in the NFC South after squeezing out a pair of impressive three-point road wins at New England and Detroit. Cam Newton has bounced back from some early-season struggles, but it has been overshadowed by his sexist remarks to a female reporter during a media session last week. These teams last met two years ago with the Panthers coming away with a 27-16 home victory despite Newton throwing three interceptions.
Last week’s NFL action saw 10 of the 14 games decided by six points or fewer, but Philadelphia was one of the exceptions as Wentz posted a perfect passer rating in the first quarter with three of his four touchdown passes in a 34-7 route of Arizona. Tight end Zach Ertz continues to be Wentz’s favorite target with 32 receptions and two touchdowns, and has at least five catches in six consecutive games. Torrey Smith and Nelson Agholor each hauled in long scoring strikes against what is thought to be a pretty good Arizona secondary. Running back LeGarrette Blount is providing balance to the offense, averaging 6.6 yards per carry over the past three games. The Eagles defense ranks a poor 29th against the pass, but pass rusher Fletcher Cox practiced fully Tuesday after missing the last two games and should help his squad on Thursday.
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Newton got off to a slow start while working his way back from offseason surgery on his throwing shoulder, and has been terrific in the past two games with a combined passer rating of 137.2 while throwing for 671 yards and six TDs. Tight end Greg Olsen was injured in Week 2 but Ed Dickson stepped up in a big way against Detroit last week, hauling in five passes for 175 yards. Rookie running back Christian McCaffrey has 27 catches out of the backfield while wide receiver Devin Funchess has come alive with 14 receptions and three scores over the past two games. Carolina’s defense is surrendering 274 yards per game, ranking No. 1 in the NFC, while allowing just 194.2 yards through the air. This is Carolina’s only home game in stretch of five that ends with two more on the road (Chicago, Tampa Bay).
Both of these teams look really good so far and Carolina’s defense appears to be back in 2015 form. I don’t see this Eagles team collapsing like they did last year, but this game will be tough to win on the road on short rest. I’ll take Carolina in this one.
Pick: Panthers -3
- Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
- Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 6.
- Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 6.
- Panthers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.
- Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
- Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 13-3 in Eagles last 16 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 Thursday games.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Eagles last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Over is 7-3 in Eagles last 10 games overall.
- Under is 39-17 in Eagles last 56 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 19-9 in Eagles last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in October.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in Week 6.
- Over is 8-1 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 games on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 15-6-1 in Panthers last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
