Duke vs Florida Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [11/26/17]

Duke (7-0) vs Florida (5-0)
When: Sunday, November 26th 2017
Where: Moda Center, Portland, OR
Time: 10:30 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Duke -2.5

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After a couple of thrilling overtime victories, the top-ranked Duke Blue Devils and No. 7 Florida Gators will square-off in the Championship Game of the inaugural PK80 Invitational Motion Bracket on Sunday night in Portland, Oregon.Duke freshman star Marvin Bagley III is already establishing himself a star and had a career-high 34 points and added 15 rebounds in Friday’s 85-78 overtime win over Texas, while Florida advanced with a 111-105 double overtime win over No. 17 Gonzaga. Bagley’s five double-doubles through seven games is a Duke freshman record and he and the Blue Devils will go up against a Florida team that is averaging 102.6 points a game. the Gators boast one of deepest rosters in the country with eight players averaging at least 13 minutes per game. Guard Jalen Hudson, averaging a team-high 21.2 points, made eight 3-pointers and finished with a career-high 35 points in the win over Gonzaga. Duke leads the all-time series 13-4, including an 84-74 win at last season’s Jimmy V Classic in New York.

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Freshman guard Gary Trent Jr. had 17 points in the win over Texas as the Blue Devils rallied from a huge 16-point deficit without senior Grayson Allen, who scored 12 points before fouling out. Trent is shooting just 35.8% from the field after Friday’s victory and point guard Trevon Duval has 11 turnovers in his past two games. Duke was 3-for-18 from 3-point range and will need to improve on that against the Gators, who are averaging 12.2 made 3-pointers on 46.9% shooting. Duke is 154-15 under coach Mike Krzyzewski in the month of November.

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Guard Chris Chiozza had a career-high 26 points and 10 assists in the win over Gonzaga but the Gators struggled to contain Zags big man Johnathan Williams, who finished with a career-high 39 points and 12 rebounds. Forward Egor Koulechov averages 18.2 points and 7.2 rebounds for the Gators, who have scored at least 100 points in four of their first five games. Junior guard KeVaughn Allen, a preseason All-SEC first-team selection, averages 12.8 points and had 23 against the Zags. Allen, Chiozza, and Koulechov are 1,2, and 3 in the SEC in assist-to-turnover ratio.

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In a big game like this, a lot of times it comes down to coaching, and that edge obviously goes to Duke. Bagley appears to be the type of player who can carry a team when others around him aren’t doing their job. I think the Duke defense slows down Florida and comes away with a win.

Pick: Duke -2.5

  • Blue Devils are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Blue Devils are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Blue Devils are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Blue Devils are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Blue Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
  • Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Blue Devils are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.
  • Gators are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
  • Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Gators are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Gators are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 neutral site games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 6-0 in Blue Devils last 6 non-conference games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 15-5-1 in Blue Devils last 21 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 20-8-1 in Blue Devils last 29 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 Sunday games.
  • Over is 6-0 in Gators last 6 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Gators last 4 neutral site games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Gators last 5 non-conference games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Gators last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 15-7 in Gators last 22 vs. Atlantic Coast.

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