LA Dodgers (11-12) at San Francisco (11-13)
When: Friday, April 27th 2018
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Time: 10:15 ET | TV: SportsNet LA, NBCS Bay Area
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -138/8.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers are licking their wounds after losing two-straight at home to the lowly Miami Marlins, including a loss when Clayton Kershaw started, and will embark on a season-high 11-game road trip when they visit rival San Francisco on Friday night. L.A. had won seven of eight including the series opener with Miami, before dropping the last two and will get a Giants team that is beginning to heat up. San Francisco took two of three from both the L.A. Angels and Washington Nationals as outfielder Mac Williamson has provided a spark offensively. Williamson has homered twice in four starts since being called up from Triple-A Sacramento to fill-in for veteran Hunter Pence, who was batting .172 when he landed on the disabled list with a thumb sprain last week. Pence will begin a minor-league rehab assignment on Friday and then the Giants will have some decisions to make. Los Angeles has their own outfield issues with veteran Matt Kemp hitting .313 with four homers and 12 RBIs, Yasiel Puig batting .195 with no homers and could begin sharing time with Joc Pederson, who has swung a hot bat with six hits in his last 19 at-bats. Two lefties will take the mound Friday as the undefeated Hyun-Jin Ryu opposes the winless Derek Holland.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-0, 1.99 ERA) | Giants – Derek Holland (0-3, 4.98)
Ryu has been L.A.’ best pitcher thus far – including Kershaw – and has held opponents to a measly .141 batting average and is coming off a win against the Nationals in which he allowed two hits over seven scoreless innings. Ryu has gone at least six innings and recorded at least eight strikeouts in each of his last three starts. He is 4-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 12 career starts against the Giants, including 0-2 with a 1.17 ERA in three outings last season.
Holland is still looking for his first victory of 2018 and allowed four runs in six innings against the Los Angeles Angels last Saturday. The long-ball has been an issue for Holland after he served up 31 in 29 games last season as a member of the Chicago White Sox and allowed three in the 4-3 loss to the Angels. He is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA in two career starts against the Dodgers after pitching five innings in a loss on March 31st.
The pitching matchup here is a total mis-match. Ryu has been strong this season and has good career numbers against San Francisco. Holland has been just the opposite this season and I expect the Dodgers to start their long road trip with a victory tonight.
Pick: Dodgers -135
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 60-21 in their last 81 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 52-19 in their last 71 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 50-19 in their last 69 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 Friday games.
- Dodgers are 27-11 in their last 38 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 45-22 in their last 67 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 12-25 in their last 37 games following a loss.
- Dodgers are 16-4 in Ryu’s last 20 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 34-9 in Ryu’s last 43 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in Ryu’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-9 in Ryu’s last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in Ryu’s last 5 road starts.
- Dodgers are 1-5 in Ryu’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 1-5 in Ryu’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in Ryu’s last 4 Friday starts.
- Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Giants are 16-39 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 0-4 in Holland’s last 4 starts.
- Giants are 0-4 in Holland’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 Friday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Ryu’s last 6 Friday starts.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Ryu’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 road starts.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Ryu’s last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in Ryu’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 9-3 in Giants last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games following an off day.
- Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Ryu’s last 6 starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Ryu’s last 5 road starts vs. Giants.
- Dodgers are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
- Dodgers are 10-22 in the last 32 meetings in San Francisco.
