LA Dodgers (1-2) at Houston (2-1)
When: Saturday, October 28th 2017
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Time: 8:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -109/8
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Home teams have proved to be dominant this postseason, but none more than the Houston Astros, who can claim their first World Series in franchise history with two more wins at raucous Minute Maid Park. The Astros are already 7-0 at home in the playoffs and have outscored their opponents 36-10 in the process after last night’s 5-3 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 3 of the Fall Classic to take a 2-1 series lead. Yuli Gurriel’s homer to open a four-run Astros’ second inning chased starter Yu Darvish early, forcing the Dodgers to burn through their bullpen on Friday. It was the lone homer in Game 3 after the teams combined for eight in the epic 11-inning battle in Game 2 back in L.A. Several stars for both teams are struggling at the plate including NLCS co-MVPs Justin Turner (2-for-13, one homer) and Chris Taylor (1-for-9, one homer), while Astros star Jose Altuve (3-for-15, one homer) is also having a quiet series. Home Run Derby participant Cody Bellinger of the Dodgers struck out in all four at-bats on Friday and is 0-for-11 in the series. Houston RF Josh Reddick is 4-for-11 with a walk and three runs scored in the World Series after going 1-for-25 in the American League Championship Series against the Yankees.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Alex Wood (0-1, 5.79 ERA) | Astros – Charlie Morton (1-1, 6.23)
Lefty Alex Wood is making just his second start of the postseason as he gave up three runs (all on solo homers) and four hits while striking out seven over 4.2 innings against the Chicago Cubs in the NLCS. Wood is pitching for just the second time in 31 days and the Dodgers could really use some quality innings from him to take pressure off the bullpen.
Charlie Morton will make his fourth postseason start, but hasn’t lasted more than five innings in any of those while striking out 14 in 13 innings. The Astros were pleasantly surprised with Morton this season after he pitched only four games with Philadelphia last year and the veteran righty rewarded the team with a career-high 14 wins. He will be making his first World Series start.
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I don’t care who’s pitching – the Astros at home are almost a lock right now. The Dodgers should be able to get to Morton, but the Astros will still outhit and outscore L.A. and take a commanding series lead.
Fun Facts About the World Series
Pick: Astros -125
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 interleague games.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games.
- Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Dodgers are 77-36 in their last 113 overall.
- Dodgers are 77-36 in their last 113 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 36-17 in their last 53 Saturday games.
- Dodgers are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. American League West.
- Dodgers are 6-18 in their last 24 games following a loss.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Dodgers are 18-5 in Wood’s last 23 starts.
- Dodgers are 18-5 in Wood’s last 23 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in Wood’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 8-3 in Wood’s last 11 road starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
- Astros are 23-7 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 playoff home games.
- Astros are 25-8 in their last 33 vs. National League West.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 home games.
- Astros are 23-8 in their last 31 overall.
- Astros are 22-8 in their last 30 games following a win.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 44-19 in their last 63 interleague games.
- Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Astros are 15-32 in their last 47 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series games.
- Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 home starts.
- Astros are 6-1 in Morton’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 road games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 playoff road games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 Saturday games.
- Over is 9-3-2 in Dodgers last 14 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 on grass.
- Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 overall.
- Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 playoff games.
- Over is 10-4-2 in Dodgers last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-6-3 in Dodgers last 22 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Wood’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Wood’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Wood’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Wood’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Wood’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Wood’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Wood’s last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 playoff home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 21-8-2 in Astros last 31 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
- Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Dodgers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
- Dodgers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
