LA Dodgers (1-1) at Houston (1-1)
When: Friday, October 27th 2017
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -115/8.5
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After an epic Game 2 that saw the Houston Astros hang on for a 7-6 victory, the series now shifts to Houston for Game 3 of the World Series on Friday night. The Los Angeles Dodgers blew a chance at taking a commanding 2-0 series lead against the two Houston aces and will now turn to Yu Darvish on the road. The teams combined for a World Series-record eight home runs on Wednesday, with George Springer’s two-run shot in the 11th inning proving to be the winner in the Astros’ come-from-behind road win. Houston will carry that momentum home (6-0 this postseason) and has made the decision to close the roof on Minute Maid Park for Friday’s game, assuring that crowd noise will play a role in the outcome. The 4-hour, 19-minute Game 2 classic featured six homers in the final three innings after a speedy 2-hour, 28-minute Game 1. Springer went 3-for-5 in Game 2 after going 3-for-30 with 11 strikeouts over his previous eight. Los Angeles 3B Justin Turner is just 1-for-9 through the first two games, with the hit being a two-run game-winning homer on Tuesday.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Yu Darvish (2-0, 1.59 ERA) | Astros – Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 2.08)
Darvish has had a solid postseason thus far, striking out 14 in 11.1 innings to improve to 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA in four career playoff starts. The Japan native fared well at Minute Maid Park during his time with the Texas Rangers, going 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in six career outings. He was 1-1 in two starts against the Astros this year, striking out 12 in as many innings.
Lance McCullers, who has a 2.33 ERA in four playoff appearances (two starts), is making his second start this postseason and has recorded 13 strikeouts in 13 innings. He took a shutout into the seventh inning of Game 4 of the American League Championship Series before allowing a homer by New York’s Aaron Judge but has been finding success with a steady diet of curveballs. He has never faced the Dodgers.
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Houston has the momentum now, but I still like the Dodgers pitching in this series. I expect L.A. to be patient with McCullers and get to him the second time around the lineup. Darvish is an underrated pickup by the Dodgers and is not intimidated by Minute Maid Park.
Pick: Dodgers +120
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
- Dodgers are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 Friday games.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff games.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 48-12 in their last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague games.
- Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 77-35 in their last 112 overall.
- Dodgers are 77-35 in their last 112 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in Darvish’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in Darvish’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in Darvish’s last 5 starts.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in Darvish’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in Darvish’s last 7 road starts.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff home games.
- Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games.
- Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 17-5 in their last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 27-9 in their last 36 vs. National League West.
- Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 Friday games.
- Astros are 22-8 in their last 30 overall.
- Astros are 22-8 in their last 30 games on grass.
- Astros are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a win.
- Astros are 43-19 in their last 62 interleague games.
- Astros are 45-20 in their last 65 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 84-40 in their last 124 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 8-17 in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 World Series games.
- Astros are 5-0 in McCullers’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Astros are 5-2 in McCullers’ last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Astros are 1-4 in McCullers’ last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 1-7 in McCullers’ last 8 starts on grass.
- Astros are 1-8 in McCullers’ last 9 starts.
- Astros are 0-4 in McCullers’ last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 0-5 in McCullers’ last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 0-4 in McCullers’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Astros are 0-4 in McCullers’ last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games following an off day.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 playoff road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 9-3-1 in Dodgers last 13 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 Friday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 playoff games.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Dodgers last 15 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-6-2 in Dodgers last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 7-2 in Astros last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 19-7-2 in Astros last 28 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 21-8-1 in Astros last 30 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-5 in Astros last 18 games following an off day.
- Under is 12-5 in Astros last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 Friday games.
- Over is 7-3 in Astros last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4 in Astros last 13 home games.
- Over is 42-19-4 in Astros last 65 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in McCullers’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in McCullers’ last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in McCullers’ last 4 home starts.
- Over is 5-0 in McCullers’ last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in McCullers’ last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in McCullers’ last 9 starts overall.
- Over is 7-1 in McCullers’ last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in McCullers’ last 6 Friday starts.
- Over is 5-1 in McCullers’ last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in McCullers’ last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-1 in McCullers’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 16-5 in McCullers’ last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 8-3 in McCullers’ last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-3 in McCullers’ last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
