Arizona (2-2) at NY Yankees (3-0)
When: Tuesday, April 1st 2025
Where: Yankee Stadium,
Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: Arizona -113/8.5
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Diamondbacks vs Yankees Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/3/24 | AZ 5 - NYY 6 x | M. Kelly | C. Rodon | 111/9 | O |
| 4/2/24 | AZ 7 - NYY 0 | Z. Gallen | N. Cortes | -102/8.5 | U |
| 4/1/24 | AZ 2 - NYY 5 | R. Nelson | L. Gil | 106/9.5 | U |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 9/25/23 | NYY 6 - AZ 4 | C. Schmidt | M. Kelly | 108/7 | O |
| 9/24/23 | NYY 1 - AZ 7 | C. Rodon | Z. Gallen | 101/7 | O |
| 9/22/23 | NYY 7 - AZ 1 | L. Weaver | B. Pfaadt | 112/8.5 | U |
| 2019 Season | |||||
| 7/31/19 | NYY 7 - AZ 5 | M. Tanaka | Z. Greinke | -127/9 | O |
| 7/30/19 | NYY 2 - AZ 4 | J. Happ | T. Clarke | -220/11.5 | U |
| 5/1/19 | AZ 3 - NYY 2 | M. Kelly | M. Tanaka | 104/8 | U |
| 4/30/19 | AZ 3 - NYY 1 | Z. Greinke | C. Sabathia | -141/8.5 | U |
Arizona Diamondbacks L10 Games
| Date | vs/Score | Line | ATS | OPS | Avg | Starter | IP | Opp Starter | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/30/25 | CHC 10-6 | -103/9 | W/O | 1.100 | .378 | E. Rodriguez | 5.1 | M. Boyd | 5.0 |
| 3/29/25 | CHC 3-4 | -117/9 | L/U | .716 | .257 | B. Pfaadt | 6.0 | S. Imanaga | 7.0 |
| 3/28/25 | CHC 8-1 | -145/9 | W/P | 1.087 | .368 | M. Kelly | 5.1 | J. Taillon | 4.1 |
| 3/27/25 | CHC 6-10 | -114/8.5 | L/O | .805 | .257 | Z. Gallen | 4.0 | J. Steele | 5.0 |
| 9/29/24 | SD 11-2 | -211/8.5 | W/O | 1.255 | .410 | B. Pfaadt | 5.1 | M. Perez | 3.2 |
| 9/28/24 | SD 0-5 | -216/9 | L/U | .280 | .067 | E. Rodriguez | 4.2 | R. Vasquez | 6.0 |
| 9/27/24 | SD 3-5 | -124/9 | L/U | .620 | .182 | M. Kelly | 5.2 | Y. Darvish | 5.1 |
| 9/25/24 | SF 8-2 | -256/9 | W/O | .919 | .333 | Z. Gallen | 6.0 | M. Black | 2.2 |
| 9/24/24 | SF 0-11 | -150/8.5 | L/O | .454 | .188 | B. Pfaadt | 2.2 | L. Webb | 6.0 |
| 9/23/24 | SF 3-6 | -183/9 | L/P | .613 | .206 | E. Rodriguez | 4.2 | H. Birdsong | 5.0 |
New York Yankees L10 Games
| Date | vs/Score | Line | ATS | OPS | Avg | Starter | IP | Opp Starter | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/30/25 | MIL 12-3 | -134/8 | W/O | 1.107 | .324 | M. Stroman | 4.2 | A. Civale | 3.0 |
| 3/29/25 | MIL 20-9 | -152/9 | W/O | 1.635 | .390 | M. Fried | 4.2 | N. Cortes | 2.0 |
| 3/27/25 | MIL 4-2 | -133/8 | W/U | .806 | .233 | C. Rodon | 5.1 | F. Peralta | 5.0 |
| 10/30/24 | LAD 6-7 | -142/8.5 | L/O | .959 | .229 | G. Cole | 6.2 | J. Flaherty | 1.1 |
| 10/29/24 | LAD 11-4 | -130/8.5 | W/O | 1.008 | .265 | L. Gil | 4.0 | B. Casparius | 2.0 |
| 10/28/24 | LAD 2-4 | -142/8.5 | L/U | .588 | .161 | C. Schmidt | 2.2 | W. Buehler | 5.0 |
| 10/26/24 | @ LAD 2-4 | 122/8.5 | L/U | .454 | .129 | C. Rodon | 3.1 | Y. Yamamoto | 6.1 |
| 10/25/24 | @ LAD 3-6 x | 105/8.5 | L/O | .668 | .250 | G. Cole | 6.0 | J. Flaherty | 5.1 |
| 10/19/24 | @ CLE 5-2 x | -125/7.5 | W/U | .752 | .250 | C. Rodon | 4.2 | T. Bibee | 5.2 |
| 10/18/24 | @ CLE 8-6 | -120/7.5 | W/O | .853 | .270 | L. Gil | 4.0 | G. Williams | 2.1 |
Prediction
The Yankees had a historic opening weekend by mashing homer after homer, but they are about to face a Cy Young pitcher. Corbin Burnes makes his Arizona debut and has solid numbers lifetime against the Yankees. In three career starts, Burnes has a 1.42 ERA with 22 strikeouts in 19 innings. Aaron Judge is 0-for-7 against Burnes in eight plate appearances. Will Warren gets the nod for New York only because of the injuries in the rotation. Warren had a 10.32 ERA last year in six appearances (five starts) and had a 5.09 spring ERA. I like the D’backs in this one.
Pick: Diamondbacks -115
