Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Preview and Free Pick

Arizona (38-51) at San Francisco (56-33)
When: Sunday, July 10th 2016
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN

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The first half of the MLB season will conclude Sunday night at AT&T Park when the San Francisco Giants host the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks. San Francisco is trying to pull away from the L.A. Dodgers in the N.L. West standings and have won 7 of their last 10 games and 20 of 27. They’re riding this streak without three of their regular starters who they hope to get back shortly after the All-Star Break – Hunter Pence (hamstring), Matt Duffy (Achilles) and Joe Panik (concussion). Arizona meanwhile, is in a tailspin and traded their closer Brad Ziegler over the weekend in a sign that they might be looking toward 2017 already. The D’Backs have lost 11 of 13 and have fallen into the basement in the N.L. West. The Giants have won eight of the last nine meetings with Arizona after the D’Backs swept them in four-games earlier in the season.

Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Archie Bradley (3-4, 4.81 ERA) | Giants – Madison Bumgarner (9-4, 2.09)

Archie Bradley will make his 11th start for Arizona and he was lost four of his last five decisions. Bradley pitched well in his three starts against Philadelphia (2) and Colorado, but was hit hard in his latest outing by San Diego. The Padres hit him for five run in six innings including two homeruns. The 23-year-old has posted a 5.73 ERA in two career starts against the Giants.

Madison Bumgarner was selected to the All-Star Game for the fourth time, but will not compete as he will be pitching tonight for his team just two days prior to the mid-summer classic. Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday despite recording six strikeouts in six scoreless innings against Colorado. He has allowed a total of 12 runs over his last eight starts with a 61-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Bumgarner is is 8-7 with a 2.54 ERA in 24 career games (23 starts) versus Arizona – including seven strong innings in a 2-1 loss back in April.

I am very comfortable taking the runline in this one. Bumgarner will easily mow down Arizona and despite the rash of injuries on offense for the Giants, they’re still scoring at a pretty good clip. I’ve never recommended taking -2.5 runs on a team before, but I’m really tempted tonight.  The last game of the first half should be a blowout.

Pick: Giants -1.5 -115

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