Chicago Cubs (31-24) at St Louis (28-28)
When: Saturday, June 1st, 2019
Where: Busch Stadium,
St Louis, Missouri
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: St Louis -140/9
The St. Louis Cardinals won 10 of 11 games to end the month of April – and the first day of May – to claim the majors best record. It’s hard to believe, but they went the entire month of May without winning two games in a row – until last night – when they took down the first place Chicago Cubs 2-1 in 10 innings. The win moves St. Louis to within 3.5 games of the Cubs, and the Cardinals can claim their first winning series in nine tries with a win in the second game of their weekend series Saturday night as part of FOX’s Game of the Week package. The Cardinals managed just five hits Friday, but two of them came in the bottom of the 10th including Matt Carpenter’s walk-off single that platted Kolten Wong and sent most of the Busch Stadium crowd home happy. Wong came into the series 0-for-21 over his previous six games but collected two hits including a double in the 10th before Carpenter’s hit. The Cubs lead in the NL Central is down to a half-game over Milwaukee and they have lost six of their last eight contests after going 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position Friday. Chicago had just six hits, but Anthony Rizzo recorded one of them to extend his hitting streak to 12 games (20-for-47, five homers, 13 RBI). Kris Bryant is 11-for-29 with two homers in his last eight games.
Pitchers: Cubs – Jose Quintana (4-4, 3.73 ERA) | Cardinals – Jack Flaherty (4-3, 3.77)
Jose Quintana is winless in his last four outings despite two quality starts in that stretch including six scoreless innings versus Philadelphia on May 21st. His latest start was his worst since early April, allowing six runs (five earned) and 12 hits across 5.1 innings last Sunday in a 10-2 loss against Cincinnati. Quintana last won a game on May 5th against St. Louis when he allowed two runs over six innings, but owns a 5.11 ERA in five road appearances.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Jack Flaherty is going the other way with three straight quality starts, including a no-decision last Sunday against Atlanta when he threw six scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. Flaherty has three or fewer earned runs in six straight outings including a May 3rd outing versus the Cubs in which he surrendered three runs over 5.2 innings.
Neither team is playing particularly well, but I still like the Cubs better in this matchup. I mentioned Quintana’s road ERA at 5.11, but two of those outings he allowed zero earned runs and two of them he allowed three. The reason the ERA is high is because he got bombed in Milwaukee in early April. He was good against the Cardinals a month ago and the St. Louis lineup doesn’t scare me right now. I’ll take Chicago in this one.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 71-45 +1962 units on the season after a 21-7 run!
Pick: Cubs +130
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 games following a loss.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 4-0 in Quintana’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 13-5 in Quintana’s last 18 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 5-2 in Quintana’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 19-8 in Quintana’s last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cubs are 3-7 in Quintana’s last 10 road starts.
Cubs are 2-5 in Quintana’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 8-18 in their last 26 overall.
Cardinals are 8-18 in their last 26 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-17 in their last 24 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cardinals are 5-13 in their last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.
Cardinals are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-9 in Flaherty’s last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 2-5 in Flaherty’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 4-11 in Flaherty’s last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cardinals are 2-6 in Flaherty’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-4 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts.
Cardinals are 1-4 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 1-5 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-6 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cardinals are 0-4 in Flaherty’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-5 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a loss.
Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 overall.
Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 on grass.
Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 20-9 in Cubs last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-1 in Quintana’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 9-3 in Quintana’s last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Quintana’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games following a win.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 15-6 in Cardinals last 21 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 11-5-2 in Cardinals last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 7-2 in Flaherty’s last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 6-2 in Flaherty’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-2 in Flaherty’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Flaherty’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Flaherty’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 7-3 in Flaherty’s last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
