Chicago Cubs (53-47) at Milwaukee (54-50)
When: Friday, July 28th 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Chicago -145/9
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The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs are two NL Central teams that are going in opposite directions very quickly as we approach the last weekend of July. The two clubs will meet on Friday night at Miller Park to begin a crucial three-game series and it’s especially important to the Brewers who are fading fast. Milwaukee had a 5.5-game lead over the Cubs entering the All-Star Break, but have seen that lead completely vanish and now trail the World Series champs by 1.5 games. The Brewers have lost nine of their last 11 including an embarrassing 15-2 defeat Thursday afternoon at Washington. Yesterday’s starter Michael Blazek surrendered six home runs to the Nationals in just 2.1 innings of work including four in a row at one point. The Cubs are 11-2 since the Break and have won nine straight road games after a 6-3 victory over the crosstown-rival White Sox on Thursday. Chicago’s starting pitching was a big issue in the first half of the season, but boy have they turned it around. The starters are 10-0 with a 2.51 ERA and nine quality starts in 13 games since the All-Star break. Last year’s World Series hero Kyle Schwarber hit two home runs Thursday and is batting .280 with five dingers and eight RBIs in 15 games since being recalled from Triple-A Iowa.
Pitchers: Cubs – Jose Quintana (6-8, 4.22 ERA) | Brewers – Brent Suter (1-1, 2.84)
Jose Quintana gets his third start with the Cubs and has won each of his first two, both quality starts, while recording 19 strikeouts over 13 innings. Quintana allowed three runs over six innings in his home debut at Wrigley Field on Sunday against St. Louis. He is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA in two career starts against the Brewers, with the most recent occurring in 2015.
Brent Suter is 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA in four starts since joining the rotation on July 3rd and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any of those outings. He’s coming off a solid no-decision last time out, holding Philadelphia to one run and five hits over six innings. Suter made two relief appearances against the Cubs in April and allowed four runs in 1.1 innings.
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Milwaukee couldn’t be facing the Cubs at worse time. Chicago is on a roll right now especially on the road where their fans call Miller Park the Wrigley Field of the north. Their fans will make their presence known and will add to the Brewers misery in Friday’s opener.
Pick: Cubs -155
W/L TRENDS
| Chi. Cubs |
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cubs are 9-0 in their last 9 road games.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 overall.
- Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 games on grass.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.
- Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cubs are 9-19 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
|
| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 Friday games.
- Brewers are 21-10 in their last 31 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 33-78 in their last 111 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.
- Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 games on grass.
- Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Suter’s last 7 starts.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Suter’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Suter’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
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OU TRENDS
| Chi. Cubs |
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-2 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Under is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-2 in Cubs last 6 on grass.
- Under is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Cubs last 12 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 13-5 in Cubs last 18 road games.
- Under is 12-5-1 in Cubs last 18 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Cubs last 21 games following a win.
- Under is 15-7-1 in Cubs last 23 Friday games.
|
| Milwaukee |
- Over is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-2 in Brewers last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 12-3 in Brewers last 15 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 overall.
- Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Suter’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Suter’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Suter’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Suter’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.
- Under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cubs are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cubs are 28-13 in the last 41 meetings.
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