Chicago Cubs (55-47) at Milwaukee (54-50)
When: Friday, July 26th, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin,
NBCS Chicago
Opening Odds: Chicago -118/9.5
The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of a very tough – and important – road trip that sees them playing three playoff-contending teams. The first leg didn’t go so well, as the barely avoided a three-game sweep at the hands of the San Francisco Giants by taking the finale 4-1 to tie the surging St. Louis Cardinals for first place in the NL Central. Sitting third in the division – two games back – are Friday’s opponent the Milwaukee Brewers, who are having some struggles of their own. Milwaukee also avoided a three game sweep this weekend by taking the final against the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday after taking three of four at Arizona last weekend. Christian Yelich is heating up once again, batting .400 during a 13-game hitting streak and has reached base safely in 19 straight games, as the Brewers conclude their six-game homestand this weekend against the Cubs. Milwaukee has scored five runs or more in nine straight games, going 6-3 in that stretch. The teams will still play 13 more games against each other with the season series tied at three apiece.
Pitchers: Cubs – Kyle Hendricks (7-8, 3.41 ERA) | Brewers – Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.60)
The Cubs have lost each of Kyle Hendricks’ last five starts despite the righty allowing exactly two runs in four of those outings. Chicago has scored either three or one run in that span when Hendricks is on the mound and it included a 5-1 loss to San Diego last Sunday when he allowed two runs and four hits over seven innings. Hendricks, who is 3-6 with a 5.44 ERA in nine road starts, took the loss at Milwaukee in his second start of the season on April 7th.
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Gio Gonzalez threw 73 pitches in his first start in almost two months last Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits and two walks over four innings at Arizona. The Brewers are 5-2 in his seven starts this season, but he has yet to see the seventh inning. Gonzalez pitched 5.2 scoreless innings against the Cubs on May 10th, allowing just two hits in the 7-0 win.
Wrigley Field North should be rocking this weekend in what will be the first of 13 more games between these clubs. Milwaukee seems to have picked things up recently, especially with the offense, and beat up Hendricks earlier this season. I’ll take the Brew Crew in the opener.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 98-67 +1993 units on the season after an 12-6 run!
Pick: Brewers -103
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BETTING TRENDS:
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cubs are 6-16 in their last 22 road games.
Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 14-4 in Hendricks’ last 18 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cubs are 10-3 in Hendricks’ last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cubs are 10-4 in Hendricks’ last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 2-5 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-5 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts.
Cubs are 0-5 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts on grass.
Cubs are 0-4 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.
Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Brewers are 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 6-1 in Gonzalez’s last 7 home starts.
Brewers are 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Brewers are 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 starts.
Brewers are 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 starts on grass.
Brewers are 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 games following an off day.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 Friday games.
Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games following a win.
Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 overall.
Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.
Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 road games.
Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Hendricks’ last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 21-7 in Hendricks’ last 28 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 6-2 in Hendricks’ last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-4 in Hendricks’ last 15 road starts.
Under is 41-15-1 in Hendricks’ last 57 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 21-8 in Hendricks’ last 29 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 42-17 in Hendricks’ last 59 starts on grass.
Under is 42-17 in Hendricks’ last 59 starts overall.
Under is 19-8 in Hendricks’ last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 23-10 in Hendricks’ last 33 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 39-19-1 in Hendricks’ last 59 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. National League Central.
Over is 9-2-1 in Brewers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 9-2 in Brewers last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 15-5-1 in Brewers last 21 games following an off day.
Over is 18-7-1 in Brewers last 26 Friday games.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games following a win.
Under is 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 7-1 in Gonzalez’s last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 7-1 in Gonzalez’s last 8 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 28-8 in the last 36 meetings.
Under is 15-5 in Hendricks’ last 20 starts vs. Brewers.
Under is 27-11-2 in the last 40 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 7-3 in Hendricks’ last 10 road starts vs. Brewers.
Cubs are 2-5 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts vs. Brewers.
Cubs are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.
