Dallas (3-3) at Washington (3-3)
When: Sunday, October 29th 2017
Where: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Dallas PK/50.5
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Both the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins are looking up at the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East, so Sunday’s Week 8 battle is extremely pivotal for both clubs if they want to stay in the playoff picture. The Redskins blew a chance to close the gap on Philly on Monday night in a 34-24 setback to the Eagles, while Dallas is coming off their best effort of the season – a 40-10 whitewashing of the 49ers. Both teams will begin Sunday’s action 2.5 games behind the Eagles, and Philly gets winless San Francisco at home earlier in the day. Ezekiel Elliott, who has been fighting a six-game suspension in court and will play at least another week, enjoyed his best game of the season last week, when he rushed for 147 yards and two touchdowns and added a 72-yard receiving score in the easy win. The victory snapped a two-game slide for Dallas, which dropped home games to the Los Angeles Rams and the Green Bay Packers despite scoring at least 30 points in each of those. The Redskins are dealing with a long list of injuries as four of the five starting offensive linemen sat out practice to rest on Thursday, including left tackle Trent Williams (knee). Dallas took both meetings last season and six of the last eight in the series.
Dallas’ offense is clicking right now and has a touchdown on 14 of its last 17 trips inside the red zone. As long as they can keep scoring six, they won’t need the services of kicker Dan Bailey, who is out with a groin injury and has been replaced by the recently signed Mike Nugent. The Cowboys’ defense is still giving up a lot of points despite last week’s strong effort, ranking 22nd in that category (23.7) and are 21st in rushing yards allowed (115.5). The Cowboys released No. 3 QB Kellen Moore on Thursday and added TE Blake Jarwin to the active roster from the practice squad.
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Washington is hoping at least one of their injured players comes back in the form of cornerback Josh Norman, who missed the last two games with an ailing rib but was a light participant in practice on Thursday. Washington is a much different team on defense with Norman in the lineup. Without him last week, the defense allowed Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz to throw four TD passes. The offense is still moving the ball, scoring 20 or more points in every game since the season-opener. Tight end Jordan Reed broke-out on Monday with his first two TD catches of the season, which points to a good sign for the offense. This will be the Redskins’ last division game until Thanksgiving night when they host the New York Giants.
It looks like Norman will play for Washington, which is big for this defense. Dallas will have a tougher time moving the ball than they did last week and the Redskins’ offense will have enough healthy bodies up front to protect Kirk Cousins and establish a strong running game. I like taking the home team in this series, and I’ll do it again this week.
Pick: Redskins +2
- Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on grass.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 8.
- Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Redskins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
- Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games in October.
- Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Under is 15-5 in Cowboys last 20 road games.
- Under is 11-4 in Cowboys last 15 games on grass.
- Over is 36-16-3 in Cowboys last 55 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games in October.
- Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
- Over is 12-1 in Redskins last 13 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 10-1 in Redskins last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 13-3 in Redskins last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 17-4 in Redskins last 21 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 home games.
- Over is 8-2 in Redskins last 10 vs. NFC East.
- Over is 21-6 in Redskins last 27 games overall.
- Over is 21-6 in Redskins last 27 games on grass.
- Over is 12-4-1 in Redskins last 17 games in Week 8.
- Over is 19-7 in Redskins last 26 vs. NFC.
- Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 29-9 ATS in their last 38 meetings.
- Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.
- Cowboys are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
