Indianapolis (3-11) at Baltimore (8-6)
When: Saturday, December 23rd 2017
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Time: 4:30 ET | TV: NFL Network
Opening Odds: Baltimore -13/41.5
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The Baltimore Ravens are on the outside looking in at this year’s playoff race, but they’re still in good shape with their final two games of the regular season at home starting with the Indianapolis Colts on Saturday afternoon at M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens are seeking their first postseason berth since 2014 and are tied for the No. 6 spot with Buffalo, but the Bills own the tiebreaker by virtue of the strength-of-victory tiebreaker, but the Ravens will vault ahead with a win regardless of Sunday’s outcome for the Bills based on common games. Unlike Baltimore, the Colts have been eliminated a long time ago – frankly before the season started – with losses in eight of its last nine games, including five straight in which it failed to score over 17 points. The Colts will have extra rest after an embarrassing Thursday night loss in Week 15 to the Denver Broncos, 25-13. The Ravens bounced back from a tough one-point loss in Pittsburgh with a 27-10 win at Cleveland. With the sixth seed in sight, the Ravens wrap up their regular season against Cincinnati while the Bills play at New England on Sunday and at Miami next week.
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken a beating all season, sustaining a league-high 49 sacks, with sack specialist Terrell Suggs (team-leading 11 sacks) anxiously awaiting the Colts visit. Tight end Jack Doyle (team-leading 71 catches) is one of the rare bright spots on an injury-plagued Colts’ offense, as he hauled in seven receptions for the second time in four games in last week’s loss to Denver. The season could not be much worse for Indianapolis as they rank 31st in offense and 30th in defense and didn’t have a Pro Bowl selection for the first time in 20 years.
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Joe Flacco threw for a touchdown and rushed for another in the route over winless Cleveland last Sunday and has had success against the Colts in the past. Flacco has thrown four touchdowns in his last two encounters at home and is four touchdown passes shy of becoming the first quarterback in franchise history with over 200 in his career. Alex Collins has rushed for five touchdowns in his past five games while fellow running back Javorius Allen ran for a team-leading 70 yards versus the Browns as the Ravens posses the 12th-ranked rushing offense in the league. Baltimore’s defense has scored five touchdowns this season while forcing 33 takeaways and ranks fourth in points allowed (18.3).
I was going to take the Colts in this one because I don’t like laying this many points, but Indianapolis won’t be able to do anything against this Ravens defense. This game will be ugly from start to finish.
Pick: Ravens -13.5
- Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 16.
- Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
- Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
- Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Ravens are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Ravens are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 vs. AFC.
- Under is 9-1 in Colts last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games in Week 16.
- Under is 21-5 in Colts last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-3 in Colts last 12 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 21-7 in Colts last 28 games in December.
- Over is 11-4 in Colts last 15 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Colts last 10 Saturday games.
- Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 games in December.
- Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Ravens last 5 Saturday games.
- Under is 14-5-1 in Ravens last 20 games in Week 16.
- Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games overall.
- Over is 9-4 in Ravens last 13 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 33-16-2 in Ravens last 51 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
- Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore.
- Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore.
