Kansas City (5-1) at Oakland (2-4)
When: Thursday, October 19th 2017
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA
Time: 8:25 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: Kansas City -2.5/47
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The Oakland Raiders, who are in desperate need of a victory, will host the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night to kick-off Week 7 action around the NFL. Oakland was one of the favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this season, but they have dropped four in a row and sit at the bottom of the AFC West with San Diego. Oakland filled a void this week with the signing of four-time All-Pro linebacker NaVorro Bowman, who moves across the Bay after he was released by the San Francisco 49ers on Friday. Kansas City became the last team in the NFL to lose, dropping a 19-13 decision at home to Pittsburgh on Sunday, but it has won five in a row against the Raiders and has dominated their division over the last two seasons. Despite the loss last Sunday, the Chiefs still hold a 1.5-game lead over Denver in the division and will get them at home next Monday night.
Kansas City averaged nearly 33 points through its first five victories, but they couldn’t get anything going against in improved Pittsburgh defense. The defense has been Kansas City’s weak spot all season, giving up a lot of yards including 194 on the ground to the Steelers. Kareem Hunt rushed for a season-low 21 yards but had five receptions for 89 yards to become the first rookie in league history to amass at least 100 scrimmage yards in each of his team’s first six games. Hunt, the league’s leading rusher, has 885 yards from scrimmage – the third-highest total ever by a rookie through six games. Dual-purpose receiver Tyreek Hill injured his neck in Sunday’s game and it was feared he might have a concussion, but the team pronounced him good to go. Smith threw for 246 yards and a TD last week, failing to post a 100-plus passer rating for the first time.
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Quarterback Derek Carr returned to the lineup after missing one game with a fractured bone in his back, but had another mediocre game and has four interceptions in his past three games after throwing only six in the entire 2016 season. The deep passing game has been non-existent during the team’s four-game losing streak with Amari Cooper combining for nine receptions and 51 yards in that span. Marshawn Lynch has not provided the a jolt to the running game as some expected, rushing for two TDs and an average of 42.8 yards a game. Only three teams in the league have fewer than the Raiders’ 11 sacks as the team ranks 23rd in overall defense (349.8). Oakland will be on the road for their next two games (Buffalo, Miami) before entering their bye week.
Oakland is a much better team than they’ve looked recently and I expect them to come at Kansas City hard now that Carr is healthier. Bowman will provide a spark on defense and hold the Chiefs offense in check. Oakland really needs a win and I think they get it here.
Pick: Raiders +2.5
- Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Chiefs are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.
- Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
- Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 7.
- Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
- Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West.
- Raiders are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 7.
- Under is 8-1 in Chiefs last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 road games.
- Under is 24-6 in Chiefs last 30 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 20-6 in Chiefs last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Chiefs last 27 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Chiefs last 14 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 35-15-1 in Chiefs last 51 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 15-7 in Chiefs last 22 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC West.
- Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 20-6-1 in Raiders last 27 home games.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Raiders last 8 Thursday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games in Week 7.
- Under is 17-8 in Raiders last 25 games in October.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Oakland.
- Under is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings.
- Road team is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
