Boston (1-2) at Chicago (2-1)
When: Sunday, April 23rd 2017
Where: United Center, Chicago, IL
Time: 6:35 ET | TV: TNT
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The Boston Celtics will look to even-up their best-of-seven first round series when they visit the Chicago Bulls for Game 4 on Sunday night at United Center. The home team has failed to win a game thus far after the Bulls took the first two in the series, while Boston took Game 3 on Friday. Boston cruised to a 104-87 victory in Game 3 with Chicago played without point guard Rajon Rondo, who is out indefinitely with a fractured right thumb. All-Star guard Isaiah Thomas played admirably through two losses in the wake of his sister’s death in a car accident prior to the series. He scored 16 points in Game 3 – nearly 13 below his season average – but handed out nine assists as others around him became more involved offensively, namely fellow guard Avery Bradley (15 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists). Backup point guard Terry Rozier was a non-factor in Games 1 and 2, but woke up in Game 3 to provide 11 points in 23 minutes off the bench. Power forward Bobby Portis scored a total of five points over the last two games after recording 19 in Game 1. Boston made 17-of-37 threes while holding Chicago to 6-of-21.
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Rondo’s absence was felt in the Game 3 loss, as Chicago saw their assist total fall from 28 in Game 2 to 14 in Game 3, while their turnovers jumped from 12 to 18. Star Jimmy Butler averaged 26 points in the two wins at Boston before being held to 14 on 7-of-21 shooting in Friday’s loss and a -27 rating. Center Robin Lopez has been a monster around the rim when Chicago has the ball, collecting 16 offensive rebounds in the series, which has helped him average 14.7 points on 70.4% shooting. As a team, Chicago has outrebounded the Celtics by an average of 12.3 in the series. Point guard Jerian Grant stepped in for Rondo, but failed to record an assist and committed four turnovers in his 15+ minutes of action. Veteran Dwayne Wade was one of three players to lead the team with three assists, but shot just 6-of-18 from the floor and will need to step up his game. One good sign for Chicago is Game 3 was that they made all 15 of their free throws.
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Thomas should be more focused the rest of the series for Boston and take advantage of Rondo absence. Chicago is still dominating the boards, which will keep them in it, but I think Boston pulls this one out and gets back in the series.
Pick: Celtics -2.5
ATS TRENDS
| Boston |
- Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
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| Chicago |
- Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Bulls are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games.
- Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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OU TRENDS
| Boston |
- Under is 4-1-1 in Celtics last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Celtics last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 10-3-2 in Celtics last 15 road games.
- Under is 6-2-2 in Celtics last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Celtics last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 22-8 in Celtics last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Celtics last 11 vs. NBA Central.
- Over is 17-8-2 in Celtics last 27 games following a ATS win.
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| Chicago |
- Under is 9-1 in Bulls last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 22-8 in Bulls last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Under is 20-8 in Bulls last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 23-10 in Bulls last 33 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 39-18 in Bulls last 57 games following a ATS loss.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
- Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Celtics are 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Chicago.
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