Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/10/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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Cleveland (51-29) at Miami (39-41)
When: Monday, April 10th 2017
Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: FSN Ohio, FSN Sun

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The Miami Heat will host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday night in what will be a pivotal contest for both squads concerning the postseason. Miami finished the road part of their season schedule by taking four of the final five away from Miami and are tied with the Chicago Bulls for the eighth and final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference, but Chicago owns the tiebreaker. Hassan Whiteside registered 30 points and 12 rebounds while providing a key block in the closing moments in Miami’s 106-103 victory at Washington on Saturday in what was definitely a playoff type game for the Heat. Forward James Johnson is averaging 21 points and 8.3 rebounds over a three-game span to help spark the Heat to a playoff run. The Heat won a home-and-home set with Cleveland last month including a 120-92 win at home, where the Heat have beaten the Cavs 12 straight times. Shooting guard Dion Waiters (ankle) has missed 11 straight games and small forward Luke Babbitt (hip) has sat out three in a row. Miami will close the season at home against Washington on Wednesday.

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The Cavaliers are trying to hold onto the top spot in the East, but suffered brutal losses over the weekend to the Atlanta Hawks. Cleveland was outscored by 14 points in the final eight-plus minutes of a home loss to Atlanta on Friday, then choked away a 26-point, fourth-quarter advantage and eventually fell by one in overtime at Atlanta two days later. In addition to the embarrassment surrounding Sunday’s collapse, Cleveland will come into Monday’s contest a tired bunch, as James (47 minutes), Kyrie Irving (45) and Kevin Love (42) were used heavily. Additionally, Irving – who recorded 45 points and nine assists – has been bothered by a sore knee while James is averaging 42.3 minutes over a five-game span. James also recorded 16 rebounds and 10 assists Sunday for his 13th triple-double of the season. Cleveland is tied atop the East with the Boston Celtics and will play the Raptors to finish the season on Wednesday, while Boston gets the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks at home.

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This is a tough line, but he Heat have been a cover machine at home recently (15-5-1) and Cleveland’s stars played a lot of minutes last night. I’ll lay the points in this one.

Pick: Heat -4.5

Update: It looks like the Cleveland stars are going to sit this one out. Hopefully, you got Miami -4.5 before the line change. The new line is -11.5. I wouldn’t touch it now.

ATS TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Cavaliers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Southeast.
  • Cavaliers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Cavaliers are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 Monday games.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Miami
  • Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Heat are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Heat are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
  • Heat are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Central.
  • Heat are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Heat are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Over is 10-1 in Cavaliers last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 Monday games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 13-5-1 in Cavaliers last 19 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Miami
  • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Central.
  • Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall.
  • Under is 10-4 in Heat last 14 Monday games.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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