St Louis (0-2) at Washington (2-0)
When: Monday, October 14th 2019
Where: Nationals Park,
Washington, DC
Time: 7:38 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: Washington -120/7.5
Did the St. Louis Cardinals use up all of their offense in taking down the Atlanta Braves in Game 5 last Wednesday? It sure does seem so. After the Cardinals scored a postseason-record 10 runs in the first inning en route to building a 13-0 lead after three innings in the clinching NLDS game, the bats have gone ice cold. They now have a huge task ahead of them after losing the first two games of the National League Championship Series at home, and will travel to the Nation’s Capital for Games 3 and 4 against the Washington Nationals starting Monday. The first two Nationals pitchers – Anibal Sanchez and Max Scherzer – took no-hitters into the eighth and seventh innings respectively and Washington scored just enough runs to earn a 2-0 series lead. The Cardinals managed a total of four hits in the first two games while being outscored 5-1 and will counter with Jack Flaherty as they try to climb back into the series in a must-win Game 3. Only three teams in MLB history have come back from a 2-0 series deficit after dropping the first two at home. Washington will counter with red-hot righty Stephen Strasburg in what should be a raucous Nationals Park.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.77 ERA) | Nationals – Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 2.40)
Flaherty has been the best pitcher on this Cardinals staff, especially after the All-Star Break where’s he allowed three runs or less in all 17 starts since including nine scoreless outings. He allowed three runs over seven innings in losing 3-0 to the Braves in Game 1 of the NLDS but was the pitcher of record in the 13-1 drubbing in Game 5. He’s only made one start in his career against Washington and allowed one run, three hits, and five walks back in September of 2018.
Strasburg has been asked and answered whenever needed this postseason including a dominant three-inning stint out of the bullpen to help Washington beat Milwaukee in the Wild Card game. He then beat the Dodgers with a one-run effort over six innings with 10 strikeouts and received a no-decision in the clinching Game 5 win. He was solid this season in two starts versus the Cardinals, allowing three runs over 11.2 innings with 15 strikeouts.
The Cardinals are really struggling and they’re going up against what I believe is Washington’s best pitcher right now. I know the Nationals haven’t hit much either, but I think they’ll get the bats going now that they’re at home.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He finished 135-95 +2686 units in the regular season!
Pick: Nationals -125
BETTING TRENDS:
Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 38-17 in their last 55 Monday games.
Cardinals are 8-17 in their last 25 games following an off day.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Cardinals are 4-10 in their last 14 playoff games.
Cardinals are 8-20 in their last 28 League Championship road games.
Cardinals are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff road games.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 League Championship games.
Cardinals are 5-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 8-3 in Flaherty’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cardinals are 11-5 in Flaherty’s last 16 starts.
Cardinals are 11-5 in Flaherty’s last 16 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 3-7 in Flaherty’s last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Cardinals are 2-5 in Flaherty’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games.
Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a win.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 17-4 in their last 21 vs. National League Central.
Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 Monday games.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Nationals are 13-5 in their last 18 games following an off day.
Nationals are 31-12 in their last 43 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
Nationals are 38-16 in their last 54 overall.
Nationals are 38-16 in their last 54 games on grass.
Nationals are 35-17 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 Monday starts.
Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 45-14 in Strasburg’s last 59 starts with 4 days of rest.
Nationals are 16-5 in Strasburg’s last 21 starts vs. National League Central.
Nationals are 89-35 in Strasburg’s last 124 starts.
Nationals are 89-35 in Strasburg’s last 124 starts on grass.
Nationals are 58-23 in Strasburg’s last 81 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 44-19 in Strasburg’s last 63 home starts.
Nationals are 39-17 in Strasburg’s last 56 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 32-15 in Strasburg’s last 47 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 League Championship road games.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 19-6-1 in Cardinals last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 16-6 in Cardinals last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 playoff road games.
Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 vs. National League East.
Under is 3-0-1 in Flaherty’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-0-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-2-2 in Flaherty’s last 12 road starts.
Under is 13-4-2 in Flaherty’s last 19 starts on grass.
Under is 13-4-2 in Flaherty’s last 19 starts overall.
Under is 18-7-1 in Flaherty’s last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 7-3 in Flaherty’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-5-1 in Flaherty’s last 17 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 Monday games.
Under is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 playoff games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Strasburg’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2-1 in Strasburg’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 21-7-1 in Strasburg’s last 29 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 41-16-3 in Strasburg’s last 60 home starts.
Under is 5-2-1 in Strasburg’s last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 5-2-1 in Strasburg’s last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Strasburg’s last 8 starts overall.
Under is 5-2 in Strasburg’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Cardinals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals.
Under is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals.
Under is 6-2 in Strasburg’s last 8 starts vs. Cardinals.
