Cardinals vs Cubs Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [5/5/19]

St Louis (20-13) at Chicago Cubs (18-12)
When: Sunday, May 5th, 2019
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Chicago -135


The red-hot Chicago Cubs have a chance to not only sweep their bitter rivals – the St. Louis Cardinals – on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball, but they can also claim first place in the NL Central with a victory. The Cubs have taken the first two games of their three-game series including Saturday’s come-from-behind 6-5 victory to move within a half-game of St. Louis atop the division. With their sixth-straight win, the Cubs are now 18-12 after starting the season 3-8, while the Cardinals have lost three in a row for the first time this season. St. Louis led 5-1 on Saturday before Chicago’s Taylor Davis hit a grand slam and Javier Baez smashed a go-ahead homer in the eighth inning. Cubs’ shortstop Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with his 11th home run on Saturday and has multiple hits in half of the team’s first 30 games. The Cardinals have had trouble winning close games, as five of their 13 losses have been by one run.

Pitchers: Cardinals – Adam Wainwright (3-2, 3.73 ERA) | Cubs – Jose Quintana (3-1, 3.48)

Adam Wainwright has allowed two earned runs or less in four of his six starts in 2019 including his latest effort against Washington. The veteran righty surrendered a pair of solo homers Tuesday versus the Nationals in 6.1 innings of work to pick up his third victory. He is 15-10 with a 4.01 ERA in 45 career games (36 starts) against the Cubs, but even better at Wrigley, going 11-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 25 games (20 starts).


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After getting bombed at Milwaukee in his first outing of the season, Jose Quintana has pitched well enough for the Cubs to win each of his last four starts including a 6-5 at Arizona last Sunday. The lefty allowed three runs over 5.2 innings and recorded only two strikeouts after totaling 25 in his previous three starts. Quintana is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA in eight career starts against St. Louis.

The Cubs have won 5 of their last 6 against the Cardinals.

I’m buying into the Cubs right now. Their pitching is finally coming around after a disastrous start and their bullpen boasts a 2.09 ERA in the last 10 games. They’re also getting timely hits and are on a roll against their rivals, taking five of the last six from the Cardinals.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 52-38 +774 units on the season!

Pick: Cubs -140


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BETTING TRENDS:

Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games.
Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 38-14 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cardinals are 39-13 in Wainwright’s last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cardinals are 38-13 in Wainwright’s last 51 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 43-16 in Wainwright’s last 59 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cardinals are 38-15 in Wainwright’s last 53 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 37-15 in Wainwright’s last 52 Sunday starts.
Cardinals are 22-9 in Wainwright’s last 31 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 50-21 in Wainwright’s last 71 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cardinals are 38-16 in Wainwright’s last 54 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 7-3 in Wainwright’s last 10 starts.
Cardinals are 7-3 in Wainwright’s last 10 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 38-17 in Wainwright’s last 55 starts vs. National League Central.

Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 overall.
Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 games on grass.
Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 12-5 in their last 17 Sunday games.
Cubs are 39-17 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cubs are 38-18 in their last 56 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 4-0 in Quintana’s last 4 starts.
Cubs are 4-0 in Quintana’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cubs are 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.
Cubs are 13-3 in Quintana’s last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 6-2 in Quintana’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 20-7 in Quintana’s last 27 home starts.

Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Over is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 10-3-1 in Cardinals last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-3-1 in Cardinals last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 15-6-1 in Cardinals last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-2 in Cardinals last 12 games following a loss.
Under is 44-20-2 in Cardinals last 66 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 8-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-2 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-4-1 in Wainwright’s last 15 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3-1 in Wainwright’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Wainwright’s last 19 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 13-6-2 in Wainwright’s last 21 road starts.

Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 9-2 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a win.
Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 20-8 in Cubs last 28 home games.
Under is 23-10 in Cubs last 33 vs. National League Central.
Under is 10-2-1 in Quintana’s last 13 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Quintana’s last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.
Over is 12-3 in Quintana’s last 15 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Quintana’s last 12 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Quintana’s last 12 Sunday starts.
Over is 11-5 in Quintana’s last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 4-1-1 in Quintana’s last 6 starts vs. Cardinals.
Under is 6-2-1 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts vs. Cubs.
Cardinals are 12-5 in Wainwright’s last 17 starts vs. Cubs.
Cardinals are 14-6 in Wainwright’s last 20 road starts vs. Cubs.
Cardinals are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Chicago.
Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

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