St Louis (65-65) at Milwaukee (68-63)
When: Tuesday, August 29th 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 7:40 ET | TV: FSN Midwest, FSN Wisconsin
Opening Odds: OFF
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The Milwaukee Brewers return home to begin a six-game homestand when they entertain the St. Louis Cardinals for the first of a two-game set Tuesday night at Miller Park. The Brewers are back to their winning ways like the beginning of the season and still within range of first-place Chicago in the NL Central, two games behind. They are also making up ground in the Wild Card race by winning nine of their last 13, just 3.5 games behind Colorado. Domingo Santana had his second multi-hit performance in four games in Sunday’s 3-2 victory over the sizzling Los Angeles Dodgers, but is just 10-for-49 with 18 strikeouts this season versus St. Louis. Star slugger Ryan Braun had a tough weekend in Los Angeles and is 0-for-13 with three strikeouts in his last four games. While the Brewers are climbing back into the playoff picture, the Cardinals are starting to fade out of that picture with losses in nine of 13 overall to sit 4.5 games behind the first-place Cubs. Matt Carpenter mashed a solo homer in Sunday’s 3-2 loss to Tampa Bay and looks to continue his hot streak this season versus Milwaukee. He is batting .326 with three homers, six RBIs and 10 runs scored against the Brew Crew. St. Louis is just 28-34 away from Busch Stadium as it begins a 10-game road trip on Tuesday. 2B Kolten Wong brings a 10-game hitting streak into Tuesday’s contest and is batting .435 with 11 RBIs this season against Milwaukee.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Luke Weaver (2-1, 2.31 ERA) | Brewers – Matt Garza (6-7, 4.67)
This will be Luke Weaver’s seventh appearance of the season (4th start) and stepped in for the injured Adam Wainwright on Wednesday, striking out a career high-tying 10 and allowing just three hits over seven scoreless innings in a 6-2 victory over San Diego. It was Weaver’s second big league victory and his first came in Miller Park on August 2nd when he allowed two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts over 6.1 innings to earn the victory.
Matt Garza bounced back from three horrible outings with a solid effort in San Francisco last time out despite earning a no-decision for his efforts. He allowed just one run on five hits in as many innings last Wednesday. In his previous three outings, Garza allowed 20 runs total in 13 innings while allowing a staggering eight home runs. Garza has received better results in a pair of starts versus St. Louis this season, posting a 2-0 mark with a 4.22 ERA.
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Garza has not been good and I’m not taking anything from his outing against the lowly Giants. Weaver has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals thus far and I believe he pitches well enough to get the Cardinals back in the win column.
Pick: Cardinals -122
BETTING TRENDS:
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 10-21 in their last 31 vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 12-27 in their last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cardinals are 15-37 in their last 52 games following an off day.
- Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in Weaver’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games on grass.
- Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 overall.
- Brewers are 36-79 in their last 115 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Garza’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Garza’s last 5 home starts.
- Brewers are 5-11 in Garza’s last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Garza’s last 7 starts.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Garza’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Garza’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 1-5 in Garza’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Garza’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0-3 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 14-3-1 in Cardinals last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
- Over is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 on grass.
- Over is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following an off day.
- Over is 9-4-3 in Cardinals last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Weaver’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Weaver’s last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Brewers last 12 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Brewers last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 Tuesday games.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Brewers last 17 games following a win.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 36-12-3 in Brewers last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 17-6-3 in Brewers last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 40-15-3 in Brewers last 58 overall.
- Under is 37-15-3 in Brewers last 55 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Garza’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Garza’s last 6 home starts.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Garza’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-2 in Garza’s last 11 starts on grass.
- Under is 9-2 in Garza’s last 11 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Garza’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Garza’s last 10 Tuesday starts.
- Under is 10-4-2 in Garza’s last 16 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Garza’s last 4 home starts vs. Cardinals.
- Under is 4-1 in Garza’s last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cardinals are 40-17 in the last 57 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
