St Louis (0-1) at Milwaukee (1-0)
When: Friday, March 29th, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -126/8.5
The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers are expected to be two teams who will be battling the Chicago Cubs for NL Central supremacy this season and the first of 10 meetings over the next month was one of the better games of Opening Day. The Brewers hung on for a dramatic 5-4 win thanks to a game-saving, over the wall grab by Lorenzo Cain to record the final out and get Milwaukee a leg up on the season series. The teams will resume their four-game series on Friday night when St. Louis’ Jack Flaherty opposes Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta in a battle of good young arms. 2018 NL Most Valuable Player Christian Yelich picked up right were he left off last season by belting a three-run homer for the Brewers, who have now beaten the Cardinals five straight times. Six-time All-Star Paul Goldschmidt, who came over from Arizona in the offseason, went 0-for-3 with three strikeouts and a walk in his Cardinals debut. Kolten Wong homered twice, while Harrison Bader also went deep, but the top five batters in the St. Louis lineup went a combined 1-for-19 with eight strikeouts.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Jack Flaherty (8-9, 3.34 ERA) | Brewers – Freddy Peralta (6-4, 4.25)
Flaherty is one of the top rising pitchers in the league and posted a 3.34 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and 10.85 strikeouts per nine innings. The tall right-hander went 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four starts against the Brewers in 2018 including striking out nine in five innings of one-run ball in his 2018 debut and punching out 13 while allowing one hit in a dominant performance in June at Miller Park.
Peralta is also a rising star and had one heck of a debut last season, becoming the fifth pitcher in 100 years to strike out at least 13 batters. Peralta ended the season with an impressive 11.03 strikeout rate per nine innings and struck out six in a three-inning relief appearance in the postseason. Peralta gave up four runs in 9.2 innings in two appearances against St. Louis last season.
I love this Flaherty guy for St. Louis and I think he’s going to be an elite starter very soon. I’m riding him early and often this year and that starts with this game against the Brewers.
Pick: Cardinals -103
BETTING TRENDS:
Cardinals are 13-5 in their last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Cardinals are 2-5 in Flaherty’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-7 in Flaherty’s last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cardinals are 1-5 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-4 in Flaherty’s last 4 road starts.
Cardinals are 0-4 in Flaherty’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 0-6 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts.
Cardinals are 0-6 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts on grass.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 Friday games.
Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 games on grass.
Brewers are 37-17 in their last 54 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 23-11 in their last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Brewers are 54-26 in their last 80 home games.
Brewers are 5-0 in Peralta’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Brewers are 4-0 in Peralta’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-1 in Peralta’s last 5 home starts.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 vs. National League Central.
Under is 4-0 in Flaherty’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 games following a win.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 Friday games.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 overall.
Under is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 on grass.
Under is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Peralta’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Peralta’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Peralta’s last 10 starts on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Peralta’s last 10 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
Cardinals are 1-4 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
Cardinals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.
