BYU vs Florida Trends and Free Pick – March 24th, 2011

BYU (32-4) vs Florida (28-7)
When: Thursday, March 24th, 2011
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time: 7:25 ET

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The point spread for Thursday’s Sweet 16 game between the BYU Cougars and Florida Gators opened up at -2.5 on Sunday morning in favor of the 2nd seeded Gators at and the total was set at 146.5. The spread hasn’t moved at all, but the total was immediately bet up to 149.5 as of Monday night. So far, 53% of the betting public is on the Gators. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Cougars are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

Cougars are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.

Gators are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

Over is 20-6 in Cougars last 26 Thursday games.

Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 NCAA Tournament games.

Over is 9-1 in Gators last 10 overall.

Over is 7-1 in Gators last 8 games following a S.U. win.

My Prediction: BYU looked fantastic in defeating Gonzaga last Saturday. They shot 52% from the field and 14-28 from 3-point land. The only thing I worry about going into this game against Florida is the rebounding.

The Zags outrebounded BYU 34-23. This is where the suspension of Brandon Davies will hurt. Florida will win the battle of the boards and have better guard defense to keep Jimmer Fredette and Jackson Emery in check. I’m rooting for BYU, but I would have to bet the Gators in this one.

Florida -3

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