Milwaukee (41-35) at Denver (41-35)
When: Sunday, April 1st 2018
Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin, Altitude 2
Opening Odds: Denver -4/223.5
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The Denver Nuggets have had a successful season, but time is running out if they are to make the Western Conference playoffs. They continue their quest on Sunday night when they host the Milwaukee Bucks – a team with an identical 41-35 record – at the Pepsi Center in Denver. The Nuggets are two games behind Utah and New Orleans, who are tied for seventh and own the final two postseason spots in the Western Conference. Denver’s remaining schedule is favorable, but so is the Jazz and Pelicans. Denver is still without their second-leading scorer Gary Harris, who has missed the last seven games with a knee injury. Milwaukee is in great position for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, battling both Washington and Miami for the final three playoff spots in the East while well clear of ninth-place Detroit after a 124-122 overtime victory over the Lakers in Los Angeles on Friday. Milwaukee is 17-12 versus the West this season as it plays its final regular-season game against the conference this year. The 17 wins are tied for second-most among Eastern Conference teams with Philadelphia behind only Toronto (19). Denver took the first of two meetings this season including a 134-123 on February 15th behind 30 points, 17 assists, and 15 rebounds from Nikola Jokic for its third straight victory in the series. Jokic has 14 triple-doubles since the start of the 2016-17 season, fourth-most in the NBA behind Russell Westbrook (65), LeBron James (29) and James Harden (25).
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Superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.3 points, 10.0 rebounds per game) recorded 27 points and 16 rebounds Friday, giving him five 25-point, 15-rebound games this season – second-most in the Eastern Conference to Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid (six). Eric Bledsoe (17.6 points) is heating up, averaging 24.0 points over his last four games after a season-high 39 versus the Lakers. The Bucks are hoping John Henson (8.8 points, 6.9 rebounds) gets back on the court as he missed his second straight game Friday with a finger injury. Malcolm Brogdon (13.3 points) is nearing a return after missing the last 26 games with a quad injury.
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Jokic (17.8 points, 10.6 rebounds, 6.0 assists) is averaging well above his season average over the last 12 games (23.2) after scoring 23 in Friday’s 126-115 victory at Oklahoma City ended a 3-4 road trip while Paul Millsap (14.8 points) recorded a season-high 36. Veteran guard Devin Harris (8.4 points), who was acquired at the trade deadline, has recorded double figures in points in eight of his last 11 games after scoring 12 on Friday. Harris’ replacement – Will Barton (15.2 points) – averaged 17.4 during the road trip.
Denver has not only been a great home team this season, but they have taken seven straight against the Bucks at Pepsi Center. Denver needs this one more than Milwaukee does. Lay the points.
Pick: Nuggets -3.5
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Bucks are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Bucks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bucks are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bucks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Bucks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Bucks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Nuggets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Central.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Nuggets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 10-1 in Bucks last 11 overall.
- Over is 10-1 in Bucks last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 home games.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 vs. NBA Central.
- Over is 8-2-1 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 16-4-1 in Nuggets last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 20-6-1 in Nuggets last 27 overall.
- Over is 19-6-1 in Nuggets last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 19-7-1 in Nuggets last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5-1 in Nuggets last 17 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 37-18 in Nuggets last 55 Sunday games.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Bucks are 4-12-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Denver.
