Denver (3-3) at Kansas City (5-2)
When: Monday, October 30th 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Kansas City -7/43
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The Kansas City Chiefs look to snap out of a two-game skid when they host AFC West-rival the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football to conclude the Week 8 slate in the NFL season. This will also mark the return of Kansas City’s all-time leading rusher in Jamaal Charles, who is now in the Denver backfield. Kansas City has replaced Charles with rook Kareem Hunt, who is the only player in NFL history to start his career with seven straight 100-yard scrimmage games. Hunt, who leads the league in yards rushing (717) and is second in yards per carry (5.78), recorded 117 yards from scrimmage (87 yards rushing, 30 receiving) in a 31-30 loss to the Raiders on October 19th. It was Kansas City’s first division loss in 12 games dating back to last season. Like the Chiefs, the Broncos have also lost two straight to bring themselves back to the pack in the crowded AFC West. Preseason rankings had this division rated one of the best in football, but a Kansas City win over Denver on Monday would put all three teams behind the Chiefs under .500.
Trevor Siemian has taken a lot of blame for Denver’s last two ugly losses to the New York Giants and a 21-0 set setback to the Los Angeles Chargers – the team’s first shutout loss in a quarter-century. The running game has been non-existent also, so not all blame can be put on Siemian. C.J. Anderson has been held in check after rushing for at least 81 yards in three of the team’s first four games, as he totaled just 61 on the ground over the last two losses. Wideout Demaryius Thomas was held to just two receptions for nine yards last week, but faces a Kansas City defense that ranks 28th in passing yards allowed. Denver will play their third road game in a row next week when they visit the NFL-best Philadelphia Eagles for an early Eastern time zone kickoff.
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Alex Smith continues to have the best season of his career and could be the in the running for league MVP. He has 300+ yards passing and three touchdowns in three different games this season already to give him 15 total TDs and no interceptions. Favorite target Travis Kelce found the end zone last week versus the Raiders and has caught at least one ball in 55 consecutive games. Kelce had a fantastic game last year against the Broncos, catching a season-high 11 for 160 yards and a touchdown in a 33-10 victory on Christmas Day. The Chiefs are 30th in the NFL in overall defense (396.3) and 20th in points allowed (23.0). Kansas City will be in Dallas next week before entering their bye.
Kansas City’s defense has not been very good, but I can’t see the Denver offense doing anything on the road. They just can’t run the ball and Siemian isn’t a good enough QB to make up for a lack of rushing attack. I think the Chiefs roll in this one.
Pick: Chiefs -7
- Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
- Broncos are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up loss.
- Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC West.
- Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
- Broncos are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West.
- Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games in Week 8.
- Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
- Chiefs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in October.
- Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Broncos last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
- Under is 7-3 in Broncos last 10 games on grass.
- Under is 9-4 in Broncos last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 19-7 in Chiefs last 26 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Under is 23-9 in Chiefs last 32 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games in Week 8.
- Under is 40-18 in Chiefs last 58 home games.
- Under is 35-16-1 in Chiefs last 52 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
