Milwaukee (2-0) at Colorado (0-2)
When: Sunday, October 7th 2018
Where: Coors Field,
Denver, Colorado
Time: 4:37 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Colorado -150/10
The scorching Milwaukee Brewers look to make quick work of the NLDS with the Colorado Rockies when they play Game 3 of their best-of-five series Sunday afternoon at Coors Field. The Brewers, who have won 10 straight games dating back to the regular season, took the first two games at Miller Park thanks to timely hitting and solid pitching. While Colorado pitchers were cautiously working around the top of the lineup, the bottom half came through in Friday’s 4-0 Milwaukee victory, showing how much underrated depth this Brewers team has. Milwaukee also has a shutdown reliever in Josh Hader, who did not allow a baserunner in a combined 1.2 innings over the first two games. Colorado returns home to the friendly confines of Coors Field looking to generate some offense. In the four road games starting with Monday’s tiebreaker at Los Angeles, the Rockies have a combined six runs in four games, but pitching has kept them in all games and their two best starters are on tap for Games 3 and possibly 4. Colorado shortstop Trevor Story is 0-for-8 with five strikeouts in the series. The Brewers took three of four in Denver back in May, scoring 23 runs in the victories, and zero in the loss that Freeland started.
Pitchers: Brewers – Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) | Rockies – German Marquez (14-11, 3.77)
Wade Miley surrendered two earned runs or less in seven straight starts until laboring through his final two against Pittsburgh and Detroit to end the season. The lefty not record an out in the sixth inning during any of his last four starts and was roughed up for a combined seven runs – six earned – across seven innings over his last two. Miley went up against the Rockies on August 5th and allowed three runs on five hits and three walks over five innings without factoring in the decision.
German Marquez is coming off his best season of his three-year career, going from 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings a year ago, to 10.5 in 2018, finishing with 230 across 196 innings. Marquez allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last 13 starts and surrendered two or fewer in 11 of those. He had one of his worst outings of the season at home against Milwaukee on May 10th, when he allowed five runs on 12 hits and three walks while striking out three over 4.2 innings.
The road-weary Rockies are finally home where they really excel (47-34) and are going up against a pitcher (Miley) that is starting to lose his confidence. The Rockies have had their backs against the wall most of the season, and they’ve come through before. I think the bats come alive today and Colorado stays alive.
Pick: Rockies -146
BETTING TRENDS:
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 Sunday games.
- Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 22-6 in their last 28 overall.
- Brewers are 22-6 in their last 28 games on grass.
- Brewers are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win.
- Brewers are 27-10 in their last 37 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games.
- Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games.
- Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff road games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Miley’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Miley’s last 7 starts.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Miley’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Miley’s last 7 road starts.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Miley’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Miley’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 Sunday games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
- Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
- Rockies are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
- Rockies are 14-6 in their last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rockies are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a loss.
- Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff games.
- Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games.
- Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff home games.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 home starts.
- Rockies are 6-0 in Marquez’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Rockies are 5-1 in Marquez’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-1 in Marquez’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 12-5 in Marquez’s last 17 starts.
- Rockies are 12-5 in Marquez’s last 17 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 9-4 in Marquez’s last 13 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 14-2 in Brewers last 16 Sunday games.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 Divisional Playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games following an off day.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 games following an off day.
- Under is 13-3 in Rockies last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 playoff home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Rockies last 14 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 16-5 in Rockies last 21 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 home games.
- Under is 15-5-2 in Rockies last 22 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 23-8 in Rockies last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 10-4 in Rockies last 14 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 40-17-1 in Rockies last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Marquez’s last 11 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Marquez’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Marquez’s last 13 starts overall.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Marquez’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 15-6 in Marquez’s last 21 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 19-8 in Marquez’s last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4 in Marquez’s last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.
- Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.
- Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.
