Milwaukee (58-53) at Tampa Bay (57-54)
When: Saturday, August 5th 2017
Where: Tropicana Field, St Petersburg, FL
Time: 6:10 ET | TV: FSN Wisconsin, FSN Sun
Opening Odds: Tampa Bay -137/9
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A couple of aspiring playoff teams will continue their three-game weekend series on Saturday when the Tampa Bay Rays host the Milwaukee Brewers at Tropicana Field. Milwaukee, who appeared to be fading out of playoff contention, have found new life by winning four of their last five ball games to get back to within a half-game of the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central standings. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, blew a chance at taking the second Wild Card spot from the Kansas City Royals when they dropped a 2-0 decision to the Brewers in the opener on Friday. Milwaukee’s Orlando Arcia is 6-for-10 over the last three games after recording three hits in Friday’s win. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has turned things around, allowing just eight runs in the last four games. Zach Davies, who is unbeaten on the road this season, gets the start for the Brewers against right-hander Alex Cobb. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for the Rays, who were 4-4 on their recent road trip. Logan Morrison is heating back up for Tampa Bay after a brutal end to July, going 7-for-17 with a pair of homers and four RBIs in four August contests. The Rays’ Mallex Smith extended his hitting streak to seven games with a couple of hits on Friday and is 8-for-22 over that span.
Pitchers: Brewers – Zach Davies (12-5, 4.42 ERA) | Rays – Alex Cobb (9-7, 3.89)
Davies, who is 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA on the road, suffered a home loss on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, ending his five-game winning streak. He allowed just three runs on seven hits over seven innings with six strikeouts in that contest. Davies had gone 5-0 in his previous six starts while allowing only 11 earned runs over 39 innings and just two home runs. Wilson Ramos is 3-for-6 versus Davies, who faces Tampa Bay for the first time and is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two career interleague starts.
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Cobb is coming off one of his worst starts of the season after he had posted eight quality starts in nine games. He allowed eight runs in only three innings at Houston on Sunday. Cobb had allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his previous nine starts while winning five of six decisions. The former fourth-round pick allowed one run over eight innings in his only meeting with Milwaukee in 2014 and is 9-3 with a 2.56 ERA in 15 interleague starts.
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I like both pitchers in this one and Milwaukee’s offense is hitting close to .200 in their last ten games. The Brewers also having a losing record (12-22) in Game 2 of a series, while having a winning record in all other games. Morrison is heating back up for Tampa and the Rays offense seems to come and go with him this season.
Pick: Rays -135
W/L TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games.
- Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 Saturday games.
- Brewers are 6-12 in their last 18 overall.
- Brewers are 18-45 in their last 63 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
| Tampa Bay |
- Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-2 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-2 in their last 6 overall.
- Rays are 6-3 in their last 9 interleague home games.
- Rays are 11-6 in their last 17 interleague games.
- Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 interleague starts.
- Rays are 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Rays are 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 home starts.
- Rays are 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 starts on astroturf.
- Rays are 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Rays are 7-3 in Cobbs last 10 Saturday starts.
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OU TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 interleague games.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 9-2 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague road games.
- Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Brewers last 27 overall.
- Under is 23-7-1 in Brewers last 31 on astroturf.
- Under is 22-7-2 in Brewers last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 10-3 in Brewers last 13 road games.
- Over is 9-4-1 in Brewers last 14 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.
|
| Tampa Bay |
- Under is 2-0-2 in Rays last 4 Saturday games.
- Over is 4-2 in Rays last 6 interleague home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 17-7 in Rays last 24 on astroturf.
- Over is 15-7 in Rays last 22 home games.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Rays last 15 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Rays last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Cobbs last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 13-3 in Cobbs last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cobbs last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 8-3 in Cobbs last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 starts on astroturf.
- Under is 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 home starts.
- Under is 7-3 in Cobbs last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 22-10-1 in Cobbs last 33 starts during game 2 of a series.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Brewers are 3-5 in the last 8 meetings.
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