Milwaukee (8-5) at LA Dodgers (8-5)
When: Friday, April 12th, 2019
Where: Dodger Stadium,
Los Angeles, CA
Time: 10:10 ET | TV: KTLA,
FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -165/8
The Milwaukee Brewers got off to a hot start with three series wins and an 8-2 record, but were cooled-off this week by the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim, losing all three games as their offense sputtered. They now head over to face an equally struggling Los Angeles Dodgers squad in the opener of a three-game weekend series Friday night. This will be the first time the teams have met since an epic seven-game series last October in which the Dodgers advanced to their second consecutive World Series with a 5-1 win in Milwaukee in Game 7. The Brewers scored 25 runs in taking two of three from the Chicago Cubs last weekend, but were outscored 20-12 in the three games versus the Angels. The Dodgers have taken a similar path the last week, pounding the Rockies with 29 runs in a three game sweep in Colorado, but were out-gunned 26-12 in losing all four in St. Louis this week, including an 11-7 setback Thursday. The Dodgers still lead the National League with 96 runs and 28 home runs, and will go up against a pitcher who has surrendered a bunch of dingers lately. Corbin Burnes is the first Milwaukee pitcher to allow three home runs in consecutive games in 19 years after a couple of rough outings to start 2019. This will mark the return of catcher Yasmani Grandal to Dodger Stadium. He hit 89 home runs while playing the last four years with the Dodgers and is 12-for-24 with three homers, four RBIs and four walks in his last seven games.
Pitchers: Brewers – Corbin Burnes (0-1, 9.90 ERA) | Dodgers – Julio Urias (0-0, 3.12)
To say Burnes is off to a rough start is an understatement. The righty pitched 30 games out of the bullpen in 2018 and allowed 11 runs in 38 innings while going 7-0, but has already matched his runs allowed total in his first two big league starts. Burnes allowed three homers to the Cardinals in his first start, but did manage to strike out 12 in five innings. Burnes made four relief appearances in the 2018 NLCS, striking out six in five innings.
Julio Urias will make his third start and his first two were a bit uneven, pitching five scoreless innings in a 4-2 loss versus San Francisco, the lasting only 3.2 innings at Colorado Sunday. Urias allowed three runs, four hits and four walks on 74 pitches, but the Dodgers supported him offensively in the 12-6 romp. Urias has appeared in 14 games at Dodger Stadium in his career, posting a 3.05 ERA in 59 innings.
This pitching matchup is one-sided here tonight with Urias always pitching better at home and Burnes struggling to keep the ball in the park this year. The Dodgers offense showed some life yesterday after getting shut down the first three games in St. Louis. I think L.A. gets an easy win here.
Bobby Babowski has three plays today on his Free MLB Picks page. He is 25-15 +818 Units on the season.
Pick: Dodgers -142
BETTING TRENDS:
Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games following an off day.
Brewers are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 37-15 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 37-16 in their last 53 overall.
Brewers are 37-16 in their last 53 games on grass.
Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. National League West.
Brewers are 17-8 in their last 25 road games.
Brewers are 36-17 in their last 53 Friday games.
Dodgers are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 18-7 in their last 25 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Dodgers are 23-9 in their last 32 home games.
Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Dodgers are 30-13 in their last 43 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 38-18 in their last 56 Friday games.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Dodgers are 5-1 in Urias’ last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 1-5 in Urias’ last 6 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 Friday games.
Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 10-1-1 in Brewers last 12 road games.
Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 9-2-1 in Brewers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games following an off day.
Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 21-6 in Brewers last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 7-3-1 in Brewers last 11 overall.
Under is 7-3-1 in Brewers last 11 on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 home games.
Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 Friday games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 vs. National League Central.
Over is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 overall.
Over is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Urias’ last 7 home starts.
Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
