Milwaukee (7-6) at Chicago Cubs (6-6)
When: Monday, April 17th 2017
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FSN Wisconsin, CSN Chicago Plus
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The Milwaukee Brewers look to continue their successful road trip when they play the first of three in Wrigley Field against the World Champion Chicago Cubs on Monday night. The Brewers, who lost two of three at home to the Cubs a few weeks ago, have won five of their first six games on their current road trip which concludes with the three games here in Wrigley. The Cubs have lost four of their last five after being swept in a three-game set by visiting Pittsburgh over the weekend. It was Chicago’s first series loss since mid-September. Relievers allowed all six runs in Chicago’s 6-1 setback on Sunday, raising the team’s bullpen ERA to 4.19. Milwaukee has hit 17 home runs over its last eight games, including six in the past two games. Brewers slugger Eric Thames went deep in all four games of the team’s weekend series against Cincinnati – including a two-homer performance on Saturday. Milwaukee took three of four in Cincy and are just a game behind the Reds for first place in the NL Central. Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo is 9-for-22 on the team’s homestand and has reached base at least twice in all six games. Brewers star Ryan Braun is a career .342 hitter with 20 doubles and 12 home runs in 66 games at Wrigley Field. Chicago’s Kyle Schwarber has reached base in six of 12 plate appearances leading off a game this season.
Pitchers: Brewers – Chase Anderson (1-0, 0.69 ERA) | Cubs – John Lackey (1-1, 3.00)
Chase Anderson has been superb in his first two starts as a fill-in for the injured Matt Garza and has fared well against the Cubs in the past. Anderson has allowed just one run and six hits over 13 innings this season and recorded seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in a win at Toronto last time out. Anderson was 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA in three meetings against Chicago last season.
John Lackey had slow starts in each of his two outings but settled in and provided a solid performance both times. The veteran gave up a first-inning home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday before working out of a jam and getting through six innings without allowing another run, striking out 10. Lackey is 5-2 with a 3.28 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Brewers.
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The Brewers are mashing the ball right now and Anderson is an underrated pitcher who had success against the Cubs last year. Right now, Chicago is not a team that I’m confident in laying a big number on.
Pick: Brewers +170
W/L TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-12 in Anderson’s last 16 road starts.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts on grass.
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| Chi. Cubs |
- Cubs are 25-9 in their last 35 games following a loss.
- Cubs are 19-7 in their last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 58-22 in their last 80 during game 1 of a series.
- Cubs are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 38-15 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 69-29 in their last 98 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 49-21 in their last 71 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 37-16 in their last 53 Monday games.
- Cubs are 39-17 in their last 56 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 36-16 in their last 52 home games.
- Cubs are 36-17 in their last 53 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 38-18 in their last 56 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 84-40 in their last 125 vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 61-30 in their last 92 overall.
- Cubs are 61-30 in their last 92 games on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Lackey’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 4-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Cubs are 4-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cubs are 7-2 in Lackey’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 6-2 in Lackey’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Cubs are 6-2 in Lackey’s last 8 starts.
- Cubs are 6-2 in Lackey’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 5-2 in Lackey’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Monday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 road games.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 17-8-1 in Brewers last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Anderson’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Anderson’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Anderson’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Anderson’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Anderson’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Anderson’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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| Chi. Cubs |
- Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Cubs last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Cubs last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 51-22-3 in Cubs last 76 home games.
- Under is 18-8-1 in Cubs last 27 games following a loss.
- Under is 6-0 in Lackey’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Lackey’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Lackey’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Lackey’s last 8 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-2 in Lackey’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
- Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.
- Brewers are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Chicago.
- Brewers are 10-25 in the last 35 meetings.
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