Brewers @ Phillies Preview and Pick

Opening Line: Phillies -135, 10u10

The struggling World Champion Philadelphia Phillies are starting to find their hitting groove. The Phillies knocked in 11 runs last night and have now scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Their stating pitching continues to be an issue. They welcome the Milwaukee Brewers for game 2 of this 3-game series. The Brewers have now lost 9 of their last 10 against the Phillies including last year’s 3-1 series loss to Philadelphia in the NLDS.

Braden Looper gets his 3rd start of the year for Milwaukee. He’s been a bright spot in the rotation with a 3.27 ERA and the Brew Crew have won both of his starts. With the Cardinals last year, Looper’s St. Louis team lost both games to the Phillies. Joe Blanton goes for the Phils and has been terrible in his two starts. He has a 9.00 ERA and if it wasn’t for the Phillies 12-11 comeback win against the Braves, Blanton would be sitting at 0-2. The Phillies would love to see the Joe Blanton who helped the Phillies win 3 Playoff games last year. That could be a long wait, because I believe he’s not the pitcher we saw last October. He beat the Brewers twice last year including Game 4 of the NLDS and even hit a HR to boot.

The Brewers are among the NL leaders in HR’s while the Phillies have easily surrendered the most HR’s to go along with their horrendous 6.62 team ERA. Looper has his work cut out for him tonight against the hot hitting Phils. This one is tough to call, but I do feel confident that this will be a high scoring game and could reach over 10 by the 5th inning.
 
Pick: OVER 10 +100

Here are some other trends to consider in this game. These trends were before last night’s 11-4 Phillies win over the Brewers:

Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games.
Over is 7-1-1 in Phillies last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 7-1-1 in Phillies last 9 overall.
Over is 7-1-1 in Phillies last 9 on grass.
Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1-1 in Phillies last 6 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1-1 in Phillies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-0 in Blanton’s last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Blanton’s last 5 home starts.
Over is 5-0 in Blanton’s last 5 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1-1 in Blanton’s last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Blanton’s last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Blanton’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-2-1 in Blanton’s last 9 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 6-2-2 in Blanton’s last 10 starts as a favorite.
Over is 7-2 in Rapuano’s last 9 Wednesday games behind home plate.

Send comments on this article to webmaster@ultimatecapper.com

CLICK HERE TO BET ON MLB BASEBALL GAMES AT A SPORTSBOOK THAT LETS YOU DEPOSIT WITH YOUR CHECKING ACCOUNT INSTANTLY! GET A 10% BONUS TOO!