Atlanta (46-33) at Chicago Cubs (43-35)
When: Tuesday, June 25th, 2019
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FS Southeast,
NBCS Chicago Plus
Opening Odds: Chicago -110
In what could be a preview of a playoff series come October, the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs kicked-off their four game series on Monday with a benches-clearing incident that will probably carry over into the week. Chicago catcher Willson Contreras homered in the bottom of the fifth inning Monday and looked back at Atlanta catcher Tyler Flowers before taking his home-run trot and and had some more words for him en route to crossing the plate. That home run sparked the Cubs to an 8-3 series-opening victory and kept them a game ahead of Milwaukee in the NL Central, while Atlanta lost for just the fourth time in their last 17 games. Contreras’ homer was his 16th – five shy of the career high he set in 2017. Dansby Swanson smacked his career-best 15th homer in the setback, as Atlanta’s lead in the NL East shrunk to 5.5 games over second place Philadelphia. Atlanta will trot-out left-hander Max Fried to face Cubs’ rookie Adbert Alzolay in Tuesday’s contest.
Pitchers: Braves – Max Fried (8-3, 4.03 ERA) | Cubs – Adbert Alzolay (1-0, 2.25)
Fried had allowed three runs or more in four straight starts before earning the win last time out by surrendering just two over six innings of work against the New York Mets last Wednesday. Fried has allowed only one run over two starts against the Cubs covering 11 innings including a 9-4 win in Atlanta on April 4th in which he allowed just one hit.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Alzolay will make his first career start after one appearance out of the bullpen last Thursday against the Mets when he allowed just a solo home run over four innings of work, striking out five and walking two. He threw 55 pitches that outing and is expected to be stretched a bit more on Tuesday.
Alzolay was pretty impressive last Thursday, but starting a game for the first time, especially against this Atlanta lineup, is no easy task. Fried has already faced the Cubs twice and was very successful both times. Look for the Braves, who have the best road record in the National League, to bounce back and take Tuesday’s contest.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 82-56 +1703 units on the season after a 32-18 run!
Pick: Braves -115
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Braves are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 overall.
Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 games on grass.
Braves are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
Braves are 13-6 in their last 19 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 Tuesday games.
Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Braves are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 road starts.
Braves are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts.
Braves are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts on grass.
Braves are 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Braves are 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 8-3 in Fried’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 Tuesday games.
Cubs are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cubs are 13-6 in their last 19 vs. National League East.
Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 Tuesday games.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 13-3 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-2 in Braves last 8 games following a loss.
Over is 15-5-1 in Braves last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 18-7-1 in Braves last 26 overall.
Over is 18-7-1 in Braves last 26 on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Fried’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
Over is 3-0-1 in Fried’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 6-0-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-1-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 road starts.
Over is 5-1-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Fried’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Fried’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 12-3-1 in Cubs last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 18-5 in Cubs last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cubs last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-9 in Cubs last 28 Tuesday games.
