Toronto (18-24) at Baltimore (23-16)
When: Friday, May 19th 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: Sportsnet One, MASN
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The Baltimore Orioles return home looking to get back on track when they host AL East-rival the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night to begin a three-game weekend set. The Orioles dropped six of seven on their recent road trip including a pair of one-run losses to the Detroit Tigers over the past two days. Baltimore has taken five of six already this season from the Blue Jays, outscoring them 26-14 along the way. Chris Davis extended his hitting streak to seven games by blasting his fifth homer in five games in Baltimore’s 6-5 loss on Thursday at Detroit. Davis has nine RBIs and scored as many runs during that stretch and has five hits – including two homers – in the season series versus the Blue Jays. While Baltimore has slipped to 1.5 games behind the first-place New York Yankees in the American League East, Toronto has shown signs of making a move out of the division’s basement by winning six of their last nine, including a 9-0 rout of Atlanta on Thursday. Jose Bautista is starting to heat up after an ice-cold start to the season with eight hits in the series versus the Braves and four homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored in his last nine games. Center fielder Kevin Pillar will finish serving his two-game suspension on Friday for yelling a homophobic slur at an Atlanta pitcher earlier this week.
Pitchers: Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (0-1, 2.95 ERA) | Orioles – Chris Tillman (1-0, 2.89)
Aaron Sanchez will make his second start since returning from a pair of stints on the disabled list. He allowed an unearned run and five hits in five innings of a no-decision versus Seattle in his latest start. Sanchez didn’t fare as well in his last meeting with Baltimore, allowing five runs and seven hits – three homers – over 5.1 innings in a 6-4 setback. Davis, Jonathan Schoop and J.J. Hardy all went deep against Sanchez, who owns a 5-3 career record versus Baltimore despite surrendering 11 homers and 32 walks in 56.1 innings.
Chris Tillman needed 105 pitches (with only 61 for strikes) to get through just 4.1 innings at Kansas City on Saturday, receiving a no-decision after allowing three runs and eight hits. Tillman may have an uphill battle versus Toronto, against which he owns a 5-10 career mark with a 5.44 ERA while surrendering 29 homers in 137.1 innings.
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The Orioles are struggling right now and the Blues Jays have hit Tillman pretty well. Sanchez is a better pitcher and should be able to go more innings this time out. I’ll take the Jays tonight.
Pick: Blue Jays +110
W/L TRENDS
| Toronto |
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Blue Jays are 7-15 in their last 22 road games.
- Blue Jays are 7-15 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Sanchez’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 9-2 in Sanchez’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Blue Jays are 6-2 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts.
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| Baltimore |
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 Friday games.
- Orioles are 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
- Orioles are 53-21 in their last 74 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 47-19 in their last 66 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 17-7 in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
- Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Tillman’s last 6 Friday starts.
- Orioles are 13-3 in Tillman’s last 16 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 21-7 in Tillman’s last 28 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 10-4 in Tillman’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 20-8 in Tillman’s last 28 home starts.
- Orioles are 24-10 in Tillman’s last 34 starts.
- Orioles are 20-9 in Tillman’s last 29 starts on grass.
- Orioles are 29-14 in Tillman’s last 43 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 35-17 in Tillman’s last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
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OU TRENDS
| Toronto |
- Over is 8-1-2 in Blue Jays last 11 on grass.
- Over is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 49-22-1 in Blue Jays last 72 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 Friday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 8-2 in Sanchez’s last 10 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Sanchez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Sanchez’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 19-7 in Sanchez’s last 26 starts overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Sanchez’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Baltimore |
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 12-4-1 in Orioles last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 37-13-2 in Orioles last 52 home games.
- Under is 25-9-1 in Orioles last 35 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in Tillman’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-0 in Tillman’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-1 in Tillman’s last 7 Friday starts.
- Under is 6-1 in Tillman’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Tillman’s last 6 home starts.
- Under is 13-3 in Tillman’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 16-5-1 in Tillman’s last 22 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 18-6 in Tillman’s last 24 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 34-15-2 in Tillman’s last 51 starts overall.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
- Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings.
- Under is 5-1 in Tillman’s last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Orioles are 4-1 in Tillman’s last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore.
- Orioles are 2-6 in Tillman’s last 8 home starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
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