Portland (0-1) at Golden State (1-0)
When: Wednesday, April 19th 2017
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
Time: 10:35 ET | TV: TNT
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The Golden State Warriors edged the Portland Trail Blazers in Game 1 while not playing their best game. The game was tied at halftime and after three quarters, before Golden State took control and won 121-109, but failed to cover the 15-point spread. Game 2 is Wednesday at Oracle Arena on TNT. Coverage begins at 10:30 PM ET.
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Portland (41-41 SU, 40-42 ATS) just made it into the postseason as the eighth-seed and their -0.5 point differential shows they were lucky to reach .500. Portland, however, has one of the better offenses in the league, and they rode the hot hands of guards CJ McCollum (41 points) and Damian Lillard (34 points) in Game 1.
Unfortunately for the Blazers, they don’t have much depth without center Jusuf Nurkic, who’s still recovering from a broken leg and is questionable for Game 2. The Warriors (67-15 SU, 40-39-3 ATS), on the other hand, were comfortable going 10-deep into their lineup during Sunday’s Game 1. Five different Warriors scored in double figures, and all ten men finished in plus territory. Until Nurkic returns, this advantage should become even more pronounced as the series rolls on. The Warriors have now won nine straight times as the host in this series and 15 of the last 17 matchups overall. Shooting guard Klay Thompson is 7-of-29 from 3-point range in his last four games.
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This series should end in four games and the Warriors got off to a slow start in Game 1 before pulling away. I expect a more spirited effort from start to finish and I believe the Warriors roll in this one.
Pick: Warriors -14
ATS TRENDS
| Portland |
- Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Trail Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trail Blazers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Trail Blazers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Trail Blazers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
- Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Trail Blazers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. Western Conference.
- Trail Blazers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
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| Golden State |
- Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Warriors are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
- Warriors are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win.
- Warriors are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.
- Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Warriors are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Warriors are 36-13-3 ATS in their last 52 Wednesday games.
- Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Warriors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Warriors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Warriors are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
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OU TRENDS
| Portland |
- Under is 3-0-1 in Trail Blazers last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 Wednesday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 19-7 in Trail Blazers last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Under is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 17-8 in Trail Blazers last 25 games following a straight up loss.
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| Golden State |
- Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 22-7 in Warriors last 29 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Under is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 42-20 in Warriors last 62 overall.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Golden State.
- Over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 11-23 ATS in the last 34 meetings.
- Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 7-20 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Golden State.
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