Buffalo (5-2) at NY Jets (3-5)
When: Thursday, November 2nd 2017
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Time: 8:25 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: Buffalo -3.5/42
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The Buffalo Bills will look to stay hot and complete a season season sweep of the New York Jets when the AFC East-rivals kickoff Week 9 of the NFL schedule on Thursday Night Football. Buffalo, which is off to its best start since 2008, has won two in a row to remain one-half game behind first-place New England while New York has dropped three in a row following a 3-2 start. The Bills key to their early season success has been creating turnovers and not committing them. They lead the league with a +14 turnover margin and are third in the league with 115 points allowed. Buffalo is trying to end a 17-year playoff drought. The Jets have not taken care of the ball this season, committing 14 turnovers (seven interceptions, seven fumbles), including Jeremy Kerley’s costly muffed punt in Sunday’s 25-20 setback against Atlanta. The Bills are coming off a 34-14 triumph over the Oakland Raiders last week and beat the Jets 21-12 to open the 2017 season.
LeSean McCoy recorded season highs in carries (27) and rushing yards (151) during Sunday’s romp over Oakland and has scored three touchdowns in the last two games. He also added at least six receptions for the fourth time this season and rolled up 159 yards from scrimmage in Buffalo’s season-opening win over New York. Tyrod Taylor, who has been solid over the past two games since the bye week, threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns in Buffalo’s 37-31 loss against New York last September. Taylor will have a new target to throw to as the Bills acquired wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin (32 receptions, 475 yards, two touchdowns) from Carolina for two draft picks prior to Tuesday’s trade deadline.
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Frustrations in the Jets’ locker room are becoming apparent as veteran Matt Forte openly questioned the play-calling of offensive coordinator John Morton when the team appeared to abandon the run in the rainy and sloppy conditions versus the Falcons. Josh McCown, who recorded his highest completion percentage of the season in that game (26-of-33), has thrown nine touchdown passes in his last four games after being limited to three in his first four. Robby Anderson, who leads the team with 435 receiving yards, has scored in back-to-back weeks. With Morris Claiborne (foot) and Buster Skrine (concussion) banged-up, the Jets acquired fellow CB Rashard Robinson from San Francisco on Tuesday for an undisclosed 2018 draft pick.
These Thursday games are tough and tend to favor the home team, but the Jets are a mess right now and Buffalo could be the sleeper of the AFC. I don’t see the Jets offense getting much done here tonight. I’ll take the short road dog.
Pick: Bills -3
- Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bills are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
- Bills are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9.
- Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Jets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Jets are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Jets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
- Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
- Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
- Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 road games.
- Under is 9-1 in Bills last 10 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 Thursday games.
- Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 vs. AFC.
- Under is 11-5 in Bills last 16 games in November.
- Over is 13-6 in Bills last 19 games overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Jets last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 vs. AFC East.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Jets last 12 games in Week 9.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
