Baylor (5-0) at Xavier (5-1)
When: Tuesday, November 28th 2017
Where: Cintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
Time: 6:30 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: Xavier -4
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The Baylor Bears have passed a few big early tests and now will get another one, when they visit the 20th-ranked Xavier Musketeers on Tuesday night in a non-conference battle in Cincinnati. Baylor participated – and won – the Hall of Fame Classic last week that included Wisconsin, Creighton, and UCLA. Baylor took care of the Badgers and Blue Jays to capture the tournament title using dominating defense. The Bears gave up 65 points to Wisconsin and 59 to Creighton and have yet to allow more than 66 in any game this season. They are currently ranked 17th in the country in points allowed (59.4) and will get a good test from Xavier. Trevon Bluiett, who averages a team-high 21.3 points per game, recorded a season-low 11 points in the Musketeer’s 102-86 setback to Arizona State in the title game of the Las Vegas Invitational on Friday. The Bears are 3-0 against Xavier with all three meetings coming since 2009.
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The Bears got most of their offense against Creighton from just three players as King McClure (19), Jo Lual-Acuil, Jr. (15), and Terry Maston (15) scored 49 of the team’s 65 points. Lual-Acuil also had 15 rebounds en route to his third straight double-double and the big senior is averaging 14 points and 11.2 boards for the season. Manu Lecomte, the team’s top scorer at 19 points per games, recorded only nine points on 2-of-8 shooting versus the Blue Jays in his worst effort of the season.
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J.P. Macura scored a team-high 23 points against Arizona State after scoring eight total over the previous two games and is the team’s second leading scorer at 13.8 points per game. Bluiett is shooting 56.2% from the field and 51.3% from three-point range. Kaiser Gates isn’t far behind at 42.1% from beyond the arc, including multiple 3s in five of the team’s six games. Xavier is second in the nation in field goal percentage (56.8) and 16th in points scored (91.2).
The Bears aren’t very deep, but the guys they do have on the court are excellent defenders and should be able to slow down Xavier. Baylor is already 2-0 against top 50 teams according to the latest Sagarin ratings and won’t be intimidated by the hostile crowd.
Pick: Baylor +4.5
- Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
- Bears are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Bears are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
- Bears are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- Bears are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Musketeers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
- Musketeers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Musketeers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Musketeers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Musketeers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Tuesday games.
- Musketeers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 non-conference games.
- Musketeers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
- Musketeers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.
- Musketeers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Bears last 5 road games.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-6 in Bears last 22 Tuesday games.
- Over is 5-2-2 in Bears last 9 non-conference games.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Bears last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 19-9-2 in Bears last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in Musketeers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Musketeers last 6 non-conference games.
- Over is 5-1 in Musketeers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Musketeers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Musketeers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1 in Musketeers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 17-5 in Musketeers last 22 Tuesday games.
