Astros vs Yankees Preview, Trends, & Free Pick [ALCS Game 3]

Houston (2-0) at NY Yankees (0-2)
When: Monday, October 16th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: New York -125/8.5

Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!

The New York Yankees hope coming back home will jump-start the offense just like it did in the ALDS against the Indians as they try and dig themselves out of a 0-2 series deficit against the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the American League Championship Series. The Astros earned 2-1 wins in each of the first two games, with Game 2’s victory coming on a walk-off double by Carlos Correa that scored Jose Altuve when Yankees’ catcher Gary Sanchez was unable to handle the relay throw from shortstop Didi Gregorius. Despite the 2-0 series lead, the Astros could also use more from their offense and it will need to start at the top as George Springer (0-for-7) and Josh Reddick (0-for-8) are hitless in the series from the top two spots in the batting order. Sanchez (0-for-7, five strikeouts) and Aaron Judge (1-for-7, three strikeouts) are struggling for New York, but the team has no plans to change its batting order. “I’m going to stick with the same lineup because things can turn really quickly,” Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters. Judge is 2-for-27 with 19 strikeouts in his last seven games.

Pitchers: Astros – Charlie Morton (0-0, 4.15 ERA) | Yankees – CC Sabathia (0-0, 3.72)

Charlie Morton was not at his best the last time he took the mound, but managed to hold the Boston Red Sox to two runs in the clinching game of the AL Division Series last Monday that Houston ended up winning 5-4. Morton allowed seven hits and walked a pair in 4.1 innings and received a no-decision. He beat New York on May 14, when he struck out 10 while allowing four runs on four hits and four walks in 5.2 innings.

MORE MLB PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

CC Sabathia also worked 4.1 innings in New York’s clinching ALDS game against Cleveland and recorded nine strikeouts without walking a batter prior to his exit. He also worked 5.1 solid innings in Game 2 of that series. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 21 career postseason appearances – 20 starts – and is facing the Astros for the first time since posting a win in Houston in July of 2016.

[ad id=’36449′]

Both teams are struggling offensively, but the Yankees are much better at home and should be able to reach Morton. Sabathia has plenty of big game experience and I expect him to have another solid outing. Take the Yankees.

Pick: Yankees -128

BETTING TRENDS:

• Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
• Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 League Championship games.
• Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games.
• Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games.
• Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
• Astros are 14-4 in their last 18 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Astros are 20-6 in their last 26 games following a win.
• Astros are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.
• Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Astros are 16-6 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 45-19 in their last 64 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 overall.
• Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship road games.
• Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts.
• Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts on grass.
• Astros are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
• Astros are 6-2 in Morton’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Astros are 6-2 in Morton’s last 8 road starts.

• Yankees are 18-6 in their last 24 games following a loss.
• Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 Monday games.
• Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
• Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Yankees are 13-5 in their last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Yankees are 19-8 in their last 27 games on grass.
• Yankees are 40-17 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Yankees are 20-9 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Yankees are 41-19 in their last 60 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 playoff games.
• Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 League Championship home games.
• Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 League Championship games.
• Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts.
• Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts on grass.
• Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathia’s last 16 home starts.
• Yankees are 8-2 in Sabathia’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 Monday starts.
• Yankees are 16-5 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Yankees are 12-4 in Sabathia’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Yankees are 39-17 in Sabathia’s last 56 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Yankees are 36-17 in Sabathia’s last 53 starts vs. American League West.

• Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 League Championship games.
• Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 League Championship road games.
• Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 19-6-1 in Astros last 26 Monday games.
• Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 11-4 in Astros last 15 games following an off day.
• Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games following a win.
• Over is 19-8-1 in Astros last 28 vs. American League East.
• Over is 11-5 in Astros last 16 road games.
• Under is 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

• Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 games following an off day.
• Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship home games.
• Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship games.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff games.
• Under is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 playoff home games.
• Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Under is 15-6 in Yankees last 21 games following a loss.
• Under is 5-0 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
• Under is 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts on grass.
• Under is 15-5-2 in Sabathia’s last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 22-8-2 in Sabathia’s last 32 home starts.
• Under is 7-3 in Sabathia’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 41-20-4 in Sabathia’s last 65 starts overall.

• Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
• Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
• Astros are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

CLICK HERE TO BET MLB BASEBALL ODDS AND PROPS