Astros vs Rockies Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [7/2/19]

Houston (53-32) at Colorado (44-40)
When: Tuesday, July 2nd, 2019
Where: Coors Field,
Denver, Colorado
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: AT&T SportsNet SW,
AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mt.
Opening Odds: Colorado -126/13.5


The Houston Astros recent woes have allowed the Texas Rangers to gain some ground in what was once thought to be an insurmountable lead in the American League West. The Astros dropped nine of 11 before getting back on track over the weekend and sweeping a three-game set from the lowly Seattle Mariners. Next up will be a brief two-game interleague set at the pitching-challenged Coors Field against the Colorado Rockies starting on Tuesday. With all the slugging young talent around the majors this season, people tend to forget how incredible Astros left fielder Yordan Alvarez has been. The rookie has seven home runs and 21 RBI in his first 16 career games, and returned Sunday after missing two games with a knee injury, while going 2-for-3 with three RBI as the DH. Unfortunately, we may not get to see him much in the next two games in a National League park. Colorado, who scored 31 runs in splitting four games with the first place L.A. Dodgers this weekend, will get to face a Houston hurler making his major league debut in Jose Urquidy. The Rockies snapped a 12-game slide versus Los Angeles during the series while remaining tied with Philadelphia for the second NL Wild Card spot. Rockies shortstop – and All-Star – Trevor Story (17 home runs, 48 RBI) could return to the lineup after missing 11 games with a thumb injury, while first-time All-Star David Dahl has five home runs and 15 RBI in his last eight games.

Pitchers: Astros – Jose Urquidy (MLB Debut) | Rockies – German Marquez (8-3, 4.29)

How thoughtful of Houston to throw Urquidy into Coors Field to make his debut, knowing that the Rockies have scored 96 runs there in their last 11 games. Urquidy was the opening day starter at Corpus Christi before getting promoted after making seven appearances (six starts) in Double A. He went 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA in eight games (seven starts) with Triple-A Round Rock, striking out 64 in 43.2 innings.

The teams split four meetings in 2018.


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German Marquez has been much better on the road this season, but does have a 4-1 mark at home despite a 5.70 ERA and the Rockies are 8-1 in his nine home starts this season. Marquez earned his eighth win last time out by allowing three runs (two earned) and seven hits in five innings of a 6-3 victory at San Francisco on Wednesday. He did allow 11 runs in 11.2 innings over his previous two starts at Coors Field, including a 14-8 victory over San Diego. Marquez has made one start in his career against Houston and earned the 5-1 win in 2018, allowing one run and three hits with seven strikeouts in seven innings.

I know Marquez has been shaky at home this season, but the Rockies are 8-1 in his starts at Coors and making your major league debut in this park will be awfully tough for Urquidy. I’ll take Colorado in the opener.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 86-59 +1738 units on the season after a 6-3 run!

Pick: Rockies -118


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BETTING TRENDS:

Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 games following an off day.
Astros are 21-6 in their last 27 Tuesday games.
Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 48-18 in their last 66 during game 1 of a series.
Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Astros are 43-18 in their last 61 vs. National League West.
Astros are 58-26 in their last 84 games following a win.
Astros are 93-45 in their last 138 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Astros are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.
Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss.
Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. American League West.
Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 18-6 in their last 24 interleague home games.
Rockies are 14-5 in their last 19 home games.
Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Rockies are 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rockies are 8-1 in Marquez’s last 9 interleague starts.
Rockies are 14-3 in Marquez’s last 17 home starts.
Rockies are 4-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 4-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 6-2 in Marquez’s last 8 starts.
Rockies are 6-2 in Marquez’s last 8 starts on grass.
Rockies are 27-9 in Marquez’s last 36 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 1-4 in Marquez’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 16-4-2 in Astros last 22 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 16-4-1 in Astros last 21 interleague road games.
Over is 11-3 in Astros last 14 Tuesday games.
Under is 19-7-2 in Astros last 28 vs. National League West.
Over is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 games following a win.
Under is 17-7-1 in Astros last 25 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 35-17-2 in Astros last 54 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games following an off day.
Under is 9-1-1 in Rockies last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 vs. American League West.
Under is 18-6-2 in Rockies last 26 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games following a loss.
Over is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 interleague games.
Under is 15-5-1 in Rockies last 21 interleague home games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 38-14-2 in Rockies last 54 Tuesday games.
Over is 8-3 in Rockies last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Marquez’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 10-1 in Marquez’s last 11 Tuesday starts.
Over is 6-1 in Marquez’s last 7 home starts.
Over is 4-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Marquez’s last 11 starts on grass.
Over is 8-3 in Marquez’s last 11 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Marquez’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Marquez’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 14-6-1 in Marquez’s last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 11-2-1 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.
Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.
Astros are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings.

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