Houston (98-60) at Boston (92-66)
When: Thursday, September 28th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Boston -115/9.5
Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!
In a possible preview of an ALDS series, the Houston Astros visit the Boston Red Sox to begin a season-closing four-game set on Thursday night in Fenway Park. Both Houston and Boston are looking to improve their positions heading into the postseason and would play each other in the first round should their standings stay the same. Houston, which has already locked up home-field advantage for the first round, took in-state rival Texas to the wood shed this week by outscoring them 37-7 during a three-game sweep. New England native George Springer hit a grand slam to highlight Wednesday’s 12-2 route for the Astros, who have won 11 of their last 13 games and reside one behind Cleveland for the top record in AL. Carlos Correa had a monster night, recording his sixth career multi-homer performance while adding two doubles to highlight a 7-for-15 series with seven RBIs. Boston, which holds a three-game lead over the second-place New York Yankees, has a magic number of two to clinch its second straight AL East title. Xander Bogaerts homered to highlight his three-hit, four-RBI effort in a 10-7 win over Toronto on Wednesday, improving to 9-for-23 with nine runs scored during his six-game hitting streak.
Pitchers: Astros – Brad Peacock (12-2, 2.98 ERA) | Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (6-6, 3.91)
Brad Peacock continues to sparkle in the rotation, winning his last two trips to the mound to improve to 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA as a starter. Peacock allowed one hit in six innings in his last outing against the Chicago White Sox, earning the victory. He owns an 0-2 mark with a 12.38 ERA in three career starts versus the Red Sox and has struggled with Dustin Pedroia (3-for-6).
CHICAGO BEARS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS PREDICTION
Eduardo Rodriguez ended the month of August on a sour note, allowing five-runs in consecutive outings, but rebounded nicely in September, posting a 2-1 mark with just six runs allowed in four starts (25.1 innings). Rodriguez is coming off a win over Cincinnati on Saturday, scattering three hits over 7.2 innings.
[ad id=’36449′]
The Astros are hitting the cover off the ball right now and Peacock has been one of their most consistent pitchers since he joined the rotation. Boston is a hot team also, so this series should be good as both teams are playing for something, but Houston is playing for more, in my opinion.
Pick: Astros -106
BETTING TRENDS:
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass.
- Astros are 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.
- Astros are 6-0 in Peacock’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Astros are 4-0 in Peacock’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 6-0 in Peacock’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in Peacock’s last 6 Thursday starts.
- Astros are 4-1 in Peacock’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 7-2 in Peacock’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 17-5 in Peacock’s last 22 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 11-4 in Peacock’s last 15 road starts.
- Astros are 11-4 in Peacock’s last 15 starts.
- Astros are 10-4 in Peacock’s last 14 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 28-10 in their last 38 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 28-11 in their last 39 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 35-17 in their last 52 overall.
- Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 Thursday games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 home starts.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 9-4 in Rodriguez’s last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 1-6 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 Thursday games.
- Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 15-5-2 in Astros last 22 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 27-10-1 in Astros last 38 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Peacock’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Peacock’s last 4 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Peacock’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Peacock’s last 6 Thursday starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Peacock’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 10-3 in Peacock’s last 13 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Peacock’s last 8 road starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Red Sox last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 18-6 in Red Sox last 24 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.
- Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 39-19-3 in Red Sox last 61 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 21-4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Rodriguez’s last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-2 in Rodriguez’s last 11 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 17-5-1 in Rodriguez’s last 23 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 19-6-2 in Rodriguez’s last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 Thursday starts.
- Under is 24-8-2 in Rodriguez’s last 34 starts on grass.
- Under is 8-3 in Rodriguez’s last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 35-15-2 in Rodriguez’s last 52 starts overall.
- Under is 16-7 in Rodriguez’s last 23 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
- Astros are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
- Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
