Arkansas vs LSU Spread, Trends, and Free Pick November 24th, 2011

The point spread for Friday’s huge SEC game between the Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers opened up at -14 on Sunday afternoon in favor of the Tigers BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Monday night, the line has been bet down to 12. The total opened up at 52 and has not moved yet. Right now, 67% of the betting public is on Arkansas, but it’s early in the week still. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Razorbacks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games in November.

Razorbacks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Over is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 conference games.

Over is 5-1 in Razorbacks last 6 Friday games.

Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

My Prediction: We thought a few weeks ago that the LSU/Alabama game was the Game of the Year, but now Arkansas can really make things confusing for the BCS. If they can win this game it will create a 3-way tie for the SEC West division and it will come down to BCS rankings to see who plays in the Conference Championship. The Razorbacks have been rolling since they lost at Alabama to open SEC play back in September. LSU has lost 3 of the last 4 meetings with Arkansas and have failed to cover in each of those games. The last 6 meetings have been decided by less than 10 points. I think that trend continues and believe Arkansas has a shot at an upset.

Arkansas +12

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